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Alejandro Germán News

    Prediction markets for Alejandro Germán

    OptionProbability

    Mainstream Media

    Letitia James

    January 6th Committee

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    LQBTQ / Trans People

    Migrants

    Jack Smith

    Vaccine mandates

    Ann Selzer

    The Bidens (Joe, Ashley, Jill, and/or Hunter Biden)

    Elon Musk

    Anthony Fauci

    Gen. Mark Milley

    The New York Times (NYT)

    Universities

    Paper straws

    Leakers

    Blinken

    Maine

    Due Process

    National Institutes of Health

    Solar Energy

    Miles Taylor

    Alejandro Mayorkas

    Stephen Colbert

    John Bolton

    Wind Energy

    James Comey

    John Brennan

    Panama

    JB Pritzker

    Public Libraries

    Alexander Vindman

    Progressive YouTube Influencers

    Tucker Carlson

    The Metropolitan Museum of Art

    Bruce Springsteen

    Zohran Mamdani

    Nancy Pelosi

    The Atlantic

    the National Archives

    Disney

    Any professional sports league

    The American Psychiatric Association

    Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

    Denmark

    Jeffrey Goldberg (Atlantic columnist)

    Seth Myers

    Bill Barr

    Susan Collins (R-ME)

    Michael Cohen

    Mariann Edgar Budde

    Wikipedia

    Any non-Tesla electric car manufacturer

    Ken Klippenstein

    The American Medical Association

    Christopher Steele

    John Kelly

    Emmanuel Macron

    Jeff Bezos

    Narendra Modi

    Greenland

    Any Manifold User

    E. Jean Carroll

    Fluoride

    TIME magazine

    Joe Biden

    Jen Psaki (former White House Press Secretary and current MSNBC host)

    Brad Raffensperger

    WIRED Magazine

    Kristi Noem

    Liz Cheney

    The San Diego Zoo

    American sign language signers or interpreters

    JD Vance

    The population of penguins and seabirds on the Heard and McDonald Islands

    Any fashion or cosmetics brand

    Mike Pence

    Barack Obama

    Russell Vought

    Democratic Republic of the Congo

    Jezebel (website)

    Black Nationals

    SSRIs

    Beyoncé

    Pete Hegseth

    Rosie O'Donnell

    Alec Baldwin

    Taylor Swift

    BlueSky

    Not Elected

    Chappell Roan

    Bill Burr

    Steve Wynn

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    83

    73

    70

    69

    69

    68

    61

    59

    58

    55

    55

    54

    54

    51

    50

    49

    48

    46

    44

    43

    39

    37

    36

    35

    34

    34

    34

    33

    31

    28

    25

    25

    23

    23

    21

    21

    21

    20

    19

    18

    18

    17

    16

    15

    12

    12

    12

    12

    11

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    6

    4

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will the Trump administration go after?

    Nov 13, 7:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    5622813

    OptionProbability

    Mainstream Media

    Letitia James

    LQBTQ / Trans People

    Migrants

    Dr. Fauci

    LGBTQ+ / Transgender service members

    January 6th Committee

    Jack Smith

    Blinken

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Alejandro Mayorkas

    Fluoride

    The Bidens

    Miles Taylor

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jerome Powell

    Bruce Springsteen

    Merrick Garland

    Elon Musk

    Michael Cohen

    Christopher Steele

    Texas Democrats (as a group)

    VAWA self-petitioners

    Liz Cheney

    Furries

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Vindman

    FDIC

    Rev. Budde/ Episcopal Church

    Susie Wiles

    Beyonce

    Mike Pence

    Brad Raffensperger

    Black Nationals

    E. Jean Carroll

    Rosie O'Donnell

    Jeff Bezos

    Taylor Swift

    Alec Baldwin

    Kevin McCarthy

    Karoline Leavitt

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    93

    90

    83

    80

    80

    78

    70

    66

    58

    56

    53

    50

    50

    50

    49

    49

    45

    43

    41

    41

    39

    35

    33

    31

    25

    23

    14

    8

    5

    3

    3

    1

    What will US military investment in AI be in 2030?

    Dec 10, 5:34 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
    89.45%chance
    10589

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    631

    376

    Who will win Mexico's 2030 presidential election?

    Mar 30, 5:57 AMJul 3, 11:59 PM
    1537

    OptionProbability

    Omar García Harfuch

    Samuel García

    Marcelo Ebrard

    Ricardo Salinas Pliego

    Gerardo Fernández Noroña

    Clara Brugada

    Ricardo Anaya

    Lilly Téllez

    Alejandro "Alito" Moreno

    Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

    Manolo Jiménez

    Jorge Álvarez Máynez

    Andrés Manuel López Beltrán

    Alessandra Rojo de la Vega

    Enrique de la Madrid

    Mauricio Kuri

    Other

    Ildefonso Guajardo

    Jorge Romero Herrera

    María Eugenia Campos Galván

    Damián Zepeda

    13

    8

    7

    7

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    Any Senate-confirmed Cabinet member impeached this Presidential term?

    Jan 15, 12:40 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM
    40.69%chance
    12306

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    121

    83

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