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Andrew Yang News

    Prediction markets for Andrew Yang

    Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

    Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM
    18302067458

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Kamala Harris

    Pete Buttigieg

    Jon Ossoff

    Josh Shapiro

    Andy Beshear

    Mark Kelly

    Gretchen Whitmer

    J.B. Pritzker

    Jared Polis

    Michelle Obama

    Amy Klobuchar

    Raphael Warnock

    Cory Booker

    Roy Cooper

    Bernie Sanders

    Wes Moore

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Ro Khanna

    Mark Cuban

    Jon Stewart

    Ruben Gallego

    None

    John Fetterman

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Biden

    Jeff Jackson

    Mitch Landrieu

    Dianne Feinstein

    Jimmy Carter

    Tim Walz

    Chuck Schumer

    Tim Kaine

    Tammy Duckworth

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Elizabeth Warren

    Michael Bloomberg

    Dwayne Johnson

    [Duplicate - Invalid]

    Andrew Yang

    Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

    Dean Phillips

    Bob Ferguson

    Jay Inslee

    Kathy Hochul

    Anthony Blinken

    Susan Rice

    Scott Wiener

    Donald Trump

    Sam Altman

    Jeff Merkley

    Merrick Garland

    Taylor Swift

    Tammy Baldwin

    Katie Porter

    Phil Murphy

    Cenk Uygur

    Jamie Raskin

    Joe Manchin

    Sherrod Brown

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    John Bel Edwards

    Clark Duke

    Stacey Abrams

    Nina Turner

    john smith

    Duplicate ignore

    Gina Raimondo

    Ron Desantis

    Beto O'Rourke

    Vermin Supreme

    Hunter Biden

    Invalid answer

    John Jacob

    Alex Jones

    Bob Roberston the IV

    Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

    Stephen A Smith

    27

    15

    10

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be elected president in 2028?

    Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
    19441627574

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Other

    Pete Buttigieg

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    No 2028 Election

    Josh Shapiro

    Jon Ossoff

    Ted Cruz

    Amy Klobuchar

    Raphael Warnock

    Mark Kelly

    Nikki Haley

    Tucker Carlson

    Andy Beshear

    JB Pritzker

    Rahm Emmanuel

    Andrew Yang

    AI Overlord

    Robert Prevost

    Ron DeSantis

    Joe Rogan

    Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

    Kanye West

    Hunter Biden

    Mike Pence

    Jared Polis

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Bernie Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Stacey Abrams

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elizabeth Warren

    Cory Booker

    Roy Cooper

    Tim Scott

    Mitch Landrieu

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Ruben Gallego

    Katie Porter

    Joe Biden

    Wes Moore

    Ration L. Ussy

    Mark Cuban

    Tim Walz

    RFK Jr.

    Tetraspace

    Lina Khan

    Shawn Fain

    Donald Trump Jr

    Elon Musk

    Ritchie Torres

    Taylor Swift

    Barack Obama

    Chris Murphy

    Stephen A. Smith

    Mickey Mouse

    Ivanka Trump

    Barron Trump

    Laura Loomer

    Abigail Spanberger

    Sam Altman

    John Fetterman

    Ro Khanna

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Al Gore

    Kathy Hochul

    [deleted]

    Josh Hawley

    Ezra Klein

    Tim Kaine

    invalid

    Brian Kemp

    David McCormick

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Amaryllis Fox

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Mike Johnson

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Jamie Dimon

    Abrego Garcia

    Andrew Cuomo

    Chris Van Hollen

    Invalid

    invalid

    Deval Patrick

    Jasmine Crockett

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Obama

    Sheldon Whitehouse

    Harambe

    Josh Stein

    Jeff Jackson

    Rand Paul

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elissa Slotkin

    20

    15

    14

    7

    5

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

    May 1, 10:23 PMSep 2, 3:59 AM
    463220262

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Pete Buttigieg

    Kamala Harris

    Josh Shapiro

    Mark Kelly

    Jon Ossoff

    JB Pritzker

    Andy Beshear

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Raphael Warnock

    Rahm Emanuel

    There won't be a real election because of MAGA fascism

    Ruben Gallego

    Ro Khanna

    James Talarico

    Bernie Sanders

    Colin Allred

    Jared Polis

    Amy Klobuchar

    Tim Walz

    Connor Duffy

    [Invalid - Duplicate]

    Yishan Wong

    Adolf Hitler

    Mark Cuban

    Michelle Obama

    Andrew Cuomo

    John Fetterman

    Stephen A. Smith

    Ritchie Torres

    Elissa Slotkin

    Jill Biden

    Wes Moore

    Invalid

    Jasmine Crockett

    Cory Booker

    Invalid

    Chris Van Hollen

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Matthew Robert Patrick (MatPat)

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jacob Frey

    Noam Chomsky

    Mikie Sherrill

    Taylor Swift

    Liz Cheney

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Ezra Klein

    Andrew Yang

    Invalid

    Josh Green

    Chris Murphy

    John Stewart

    Jamie Dimon

    George Washington

    Paris Hilton

    Donald Trump

    Luigi Mangione @LuigiMangione

    George Clooney

    27

    15

    10

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?

    Mar 27, 1:20 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
    379133466

    OptionProbability

    J. D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    Pete Buttigieg

    Marco Rubio

    Josh Hawley

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Jon Ossoff

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    KRANTZ (the abstract idea that evolves into a decentralized superintelligence, not the user)

    Glenn Youngkin

    Andy Beshear

    Kamala Harris

    Ron DeSantis

    Mark Kelly

    Nikki Haley

    Wes Moore

    Mark Cuban

    Stephen Miller

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elise Stefanik

    J. B. Pritzker

    Cory Booker

    Raphael Warnock

    Gina Raimondo

    Ro Khanna

    Chris Murphy

    Tammy Duckworth

    Chris Sununu

    Jeff Jackson

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Tim Scott

    Brian Kemp

    Kristi Noem

    Beto O'Rourke

    John Fetterman

    Tom Cotton

    Brian Schatz

    Joni Ernst

    Michael Bennet

    Tammy Baldwin

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Kevin Stitt

    Josh Green

    Tina Kotek

    Ted Cruz

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Joe Rogan

    Jay Inslee

    Deval Patrick

    Eric Swalwell

    Wayne Messam

    Jared Polis

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Julian Castro

    Dean Phillips

    Katie Britt

    Laphonza Butler

    Eric Schmitt

    Mike Lee

    Catherine Cortez Masto

    Chris Coons

    Tim Kaine

    Lisa Murkowski

    Katie Hobbs

    Spencer Cox

    Tate Reeves

    Ruben Gallego

    Erika Kirk

    James Donaldson (MrBeast)

    Tucker Carlson

    Will Hurd

    Dan Crenshaw

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Amy Klobuchar

    Andrew Yang

    Stephen Colbert

    Stephen Curry

    Markwayne Mullin

    Rand Paul

    Joe Manchin

    Maura Healey

    Ivanka Trump

    David Hogg

    Dwayne Johnson (The Rock)

    Taylor Swift

    Steven Kenneth Bonnell II (Destiny)

    Matt Gaetz

    Marianne Williamson

    Ezra Klein

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Mike Pence

    Jon Stewart

    DUPLICATE

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Aella

    Scott Alexander

    Sam Altman

    Zendaya

    Michelle Obama

    Kanye West

    Mitt Romney

    Sarah Palin

    Ben Shapiro

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Walz

    Al Gore

    Elon Musk (Natural-born-citizen clause repealed/bypassed)

    Me

    Krantz (the user @Krantz)

    47

    22

    18

    17

    16

    13

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

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    4

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    4

    4

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    4

    4

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    4

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    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?

    Sep 18, 10:26 PMNov 25, 11:59 PM
    13360157

    OptionProbability

    Other

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Josh Shapiro

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    Tucker Carlson

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Pete Buttigieg

    J.B. Pritzker

    John Ossoff

    Ron Desantis

    Amy Klobuchar

    Andy Beshear

    Shawn Fain

    Donald Trump Jr

    Cory Booker

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Ted Cruz

    Mike Pence

    Nikki Haley

    Greg Abbott

    Tim Scott

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Joe Biden

    Michelle Obama

    Hillary Clinton

    Glenn Youngkin

    Robert Kennedy Jr.

    Doug Burgum

    Mike Gallagher

    Tim Walz

    Roy Cooper

    Tulsi Gabbard

    John Fetterman

    Andrew Cuomo

    Stephen A. Smith

    Ritchie Torres

    Mark Cuban

    Tim Kaine

    Andrew Yang

    Mike Johnson

    20

    19

    15

    12

    6

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Apr 13, 5:48 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
    11619288

    OptionProbability

    Julia Galef

    Scott Alexander

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Paul Christiano

    Peter Singer

    Randall Munroe

    Josh Shapiro

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Jon Stewart

    @SemioticRivalry

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Michelle Obama

    Sam Wendover

    Spencer Greenberg

    Tammy Duckworth

    Emmanuel Macron

    Andrew Yang

    Andy Beshear

    Jared Polis

    Manifold Joshua

    J. B. Pritzker

    Satya Nadella

    Aella

    Katie Porter

    Andrew Wiles

    Gavin Newsom

    @Mira

    Garry Kasparov

    MrBeast

    William Mc Askill

    Vermin Supreme

    Eric Schmidt

    Magnus Carlsen

    Bill Gates

    Raphael Warnock

    Mark Cuban

    Justin Trudeau

    Bernie Sanders

    Gordon Ramsay

    @strutheo

    Bryan Caplan

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Bill Maher

    Linus Torvalds

    Manifold James

    Sam Altman

    Michael Bloomberg

    Al Gore

    Bryan Cranston

    Kathy Hochul

    Cory Booker

    Blake Huber

    Taylor Swift

    Mitt Romney

    A randomly selected active Manifold user

    Manifold Austin

    Jose Luis Ricon

    Warren Buffett

    Keanu Reeves

    Ray William Johnson

    Cory Doctorow

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    LeBron James

    Kamala Harris

    Zach Robinson

    Nikil Saval

    Ding Liren

    @ZacParker

    SCP-999

    Stannis Baratheon

    Alexandr Wang

    Cao Cao

    Liu Bei

    Tim Cook

    Jeff Bezos

    Hillary Clinton

    Destiny

    Guillaume Verdon

    Emma Watson

    Oprah

    Rick Astley

    Peter Thiel

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jimmy Carter

    Anatoly Karpov

    Rishi Sunak

    Anthony Fantano

    Javier Milei

    Nikki Haley

    Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

    Sundar Pichai

    Brian Tomasik

    Lionel Messi

    Cristiano Ronaldo

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Prince Harry

    Jeb "Please Clap" Bush

    Hunter Biden

    Liz Cheney

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elon Musk

    Yann Lecun

    A randomly selected banned Manifold user

    Joe Rogan

    Chuck Norris

    Tucker Carlson

    Ivanka Trump

    Jordan Peterson

    Ben Shapiro

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    98

    96

    96

    95

    94

    94

    93

    93

    92

    91

    90

    89

    87

    87

    87

    85

    82

    82

    82

    78

    77

    76

    75

    74

    74

    73

    72

    72

    72

    72

    70

    69

    69

    68

    65

    65

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    63

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    62

    62

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    60

    60

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    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

    59

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    52

    52

    51

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

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    47

    45

    45

    43

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    43

    40

    40

    39

    37

    36

    36

    35

    35

    35

    34

    34

    34

    32

    32

    29

    28

    25

    24

    22

    21

    20

    17

    16

    16

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    🗳️Who will become president of the USA before the end of 2075? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Feb 20, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    409574

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    Pete Buttigieg

    Greg Abbott

    Ron DeSantis

    Kari Lake

    Roy Cooper

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Josh Hawley

    Ilhan Omar

    Ben Carson

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Andy Beshear

    Byron Donalds

    Nikki Haley

    Wes Moore

    Elise Stefanik

    Mark Cuban

    J.B. Pritzker

    Raphael Warnock

    Kristi Noem

    Tammy Duckworth

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Brian Kemp

    Katie Porter

    Beto O'Rourke

    Katie Britt

    Tim Scott

    Kamala Harris

    Andrew Yang

    John Fetterman

    Tucker Carlson

    Michelle Obama

    Stephen Colbert

    Matt Gaetz

    Jon Stewart

    Hillary Clinton

    Chuck Norris

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    37

    21

    19

    19

    18

    17

    17

    15

    14

    13

    13

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028

    Nov 18, 3:40 AMSep 2, 3:59 AM
    378128

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    AOC

    Pete Butigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Andy Beshear

    Joe Biden

    Kamala Harris

    Jb Pritzker

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Mark Cuban

    Darkhorse Celeb (Ex Lebron, Taylor Swift, Oprah)

    Ruben Gallego

    Michelle Obama

    Joe Manchin

    Amy Klobuchar

    Cory Booker

    Marianne Willamson

    Andrew Yang

    Bernie Sanders

    Michael Bloomberg

    Elizabeth Warren

    Mark Cuban

    Jon Stewart

    Other

    Liz Cheney

    Noam Chomsky

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Walz

    Donald Trump Jr

    26

    17

    10

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Will Andrew Yang be elected to any major US political office before 2030?

    Dec 16, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    11.97%chance
    152709

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    940

    722

    Who will be US President after Joe Biden's successor?

    Jan 1, 9:40 PMJan 1, 12:12 PM
    22663

    OptionProbability

    Rand Paul

    Other

    J.D. Vance

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Pete Buttigieg

    Ron DeSantis

    Raphael Warnock

    Josh Shapiro

    Gavin Newsome

    Marco Rubio

    Mark Kelly

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    Nobody

    Joe Biden

    Cory Booker

    Andrew Yang

    Chris Sununu

    Larry Hogan

    Nikki Haley

    Glenn Youngkin

    Tim Scott

    Greg Abbott

    Mike Pence

    Ted Cruz

    Kristi Noem

    Josh Hawley

    Stacey Abrams

    Ayanna Pressley

    Jared Polis

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Elizabeth Warren

    Amy Klobuchar

    Antony Blinken

    Kirsten Gillibrand

    Michael Bennet

    Deval Patrick

    Beto O'Rourke

    Eric Adams

    Bill de Blasio

    Steve Bullock

    Julián Castro

    Bernie Sanders

    Liz Cheney

    Michelle Obama

    Andy Beshear

    Roy Cooper

    Ro Khanna

    Gina Raimondo

    Mitt Romney

    Tom Cotton

    Chris Christie

    Tammy Duckworth

    39

    25

    20

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Andrew Yang run for president in 2028?

    Jan 5, 10:13 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    18.08%chance
    12525

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    213

    47

    Will Andrew Yang have been POTUS or had a position in the Cabinet before 2035?

    Feb 9, 4:22 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM
    21.63%chance
    8257

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    209

    172

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