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Prediction markets for Ángel Di María

Will a South American country be the next world cup champion in 2026?

Nov 8, 5:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.73%chance

251431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1473

804

[MLS Rumor Mill] What newcomers will make an appearance for a Major League Soccer team in 2025?

Dec 6, 9:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12839

OptionProbability

Son Heung-Min

Neymar

Joshua Kimmich

Karim Benzema

Paul Pogba

Antoine Griezmann

Angel Di Maria

Sergio Ramos

Luca Modric

Robert Lewandowski

Kevin De Bruyne

77

17

17

12

7

5

3

3

2

2

1

Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?

Mar 18, 10:23 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

50%chance

16567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

753

When is a millennial (or younger) Catholic pope first elected?

Jul 16, 12:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2296

OptionProbability

Other

2040s

2030s

2020s

54

34

11

1

Which characters from previous Grand Theft Auto games will appear in Grand Theft Auto VI?

Dec 28, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6283

OptionProbability

Lazlow Jones

Lamar Davis

Ron Jakowski

"Little" Jacob Hughes

Al Di Napoli

Tony Prince

Taliana Martinez

Cletus Ewing

Bernie Crane

Yusuf Amir

Phil Bell

Simeon Yetarian

Patrick McReary

66

31

29

29

29

29

29

29

29

29

28

28

25

Will the common pigeon (Columba livia) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 24, 8:03 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.89%chance

3280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

400

53

Is the Koide formula correct?

Dec 4, 5:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.57%chance

7251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

Will "Endometriosis is an incredibly interesting di..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jun 17, 4:54 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

19.81%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

699

Will Leonardo Di Caprio get a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame by EOY 2030?

Mar 10, 6:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.62%chance

8106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

290

176

Will Di Maria Play for Argentina Again Before Retirement?

Jan 14, 3:58 AMJan 1, 2:59 PM

30.03%chance

365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

66

Will Buca di Beppo have less than 20 locations by EOY 2030?

Jul 14, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.35%chance

452

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

94

Will Bucca di Beppo still operate at least 10 restaurants in the USA at the end of 2029?

Jan 9, 9:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.15%chance

350

OptionVotes

NO

YES

131

76

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