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Prediction markets for Bell
OptionProbability
718
649
Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Mar 27, 3:52 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
337545
OptionProbability
64
45
43
30
28
27
25
23
21
20
20
20
20
18
18
17
16
16
15
15
14
14
14
14
14
13
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
9
8
7
6
5
5
5
Will people in 2050 talk about Lighthaven the same way they talk about Bell Labs now?
Sep 3, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
9.8%chance
126264
OptionVotes
3035
330
OptionVotes
1381
760
Will Taco Bell offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?
Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.71%chance
7190
OptionVotes
289
35
Will Taco Bell offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?
Sep 1, 4:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
29.05%chance
7150
OptionVotes
156
64
Will "The Boring Part of Bell Labs" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Nov 22, 9:44 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.53%chance
259
OptionVotes
1048
750
OptionProbability
28
20
20
19
13
OptionProbability
62
50
46
38


