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Bill Cassidy News

    Prediction markets for Bill Cassidy

    OptionProbability

    Susan Collins (Senate - ME): Voted to convict Trump in 2021.

    David Valadao (House - CA): The only House Republican who voted to impeach Trump who is running for re-election in 2026.

    Field (Any other Targeted Incumbent not listed): If a major new target emerges add them as a standalone option.

    No Targeted Incumbent will survive (Trump Sweep)

    John Cornyn (Senate - TX): With McConnell retiring, Cornyn is the new face of the "Establishment". Trump allies (like Texas AG Ken Paxton) have actively floated primary challenges against him.

    Bill Cassidy (Senate - LA): Voted to convict Trump in 2021 and was immediately censured by his state party. He is running for re-election and will face a massive Trump-backed primary challenge.

    Thomas Massie (House - KY-04): Voted against the "One Big Beautiful Bill Act"

    99

    93

    44

    15

    14

    1

    1

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