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Top stories

Sue Bird Honored With First WNBA Franchise Statue at Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena on August 17, 2025

Sue Bird Honored With First WNBA Franchise Statue at Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena on August 17, 2025

Authors

12

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Bird

Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?

Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.46%chance

92575

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1508

663

Will the dodo bird be brought back from extinction before the end of 2030?

Mar 3, 1:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.13%chance

291478

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1062

592

Will any NFL team run the "Bird Gauntlet" before 2030?

Nov 2, 5:56 PMFeb 10, 4:59 AM

9.57%chance

261427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1786

859

By 2028, AI can play new levels of "Angry Birds" better than the best human players.

Jan 5, 11:07 AMJan 12, 6:29 PM

77.34%chance

251240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1354

852

Which New Zealand birds will go extinct in the 21st century?

Oct 30, 12:16 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

6398

OptionProbability

Chatham Island tāiko

New Zealand fairy tern/tara iti

Australasian bittern/matuku-hūrepo

Black stilt/kakī

Kermadec white-faced storm petrel

Antipodean wandering albatross/toroa

Chatham Island oystercatcher/tōrea tai

Northern rock wren/pīwauwau

Shore plover/tuturuatu

Whenua Hou diving petrel

Chatham Island black robin

Gibson’s wandering albatross/toroa

Orange-fronted parakeet/kākāriki karaka

Salvin's mollymawk

Kākāpō

Southern New Zealand dotterel/tūturiwhatu

Pacific white tern

White heron/kōtuku

57

57

47

45

43

38

38

38

38

38

37

33

29

26

21

21

20

9

Will there be 1000+ rowi (rarest type of kiwi bird) by end of 2035?

Apr 5, 11:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

71.66%chance

6153

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

132

Will another bird species be shown to recognize itself in the mirror (like manta rays) by 2030?

Sep 14, 10:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

70.52%chance

590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

88

Will a connectome be made of ANY bird species by EOY 2031?

Feb 3, 9:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33%chance

659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

98

Will @Scientific_Bird on Twitter get doxxed by EOY2028?

Oct 18, 5:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.88%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will a second bird species (not eurasian magpie) be marked as passing the mirror test by EOY2030?

Jun 7, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.1%chance

536

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Will the Kentish plover, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2050?

Nov 2, 3:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

65

47

Will the black crowned night heron, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2040?

Nov 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Yes

No

58

42

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 17, 2025
Aug 17, 2025
NBA
Seattle
Sports
Sue Bird Honored With First WNBA Franchise Statue at Seattle's Climate Pledge Arena on August 17, 2025
Authors
12
10 months ago

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