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Prediction markets for Brennan
OptionProbability
[Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC
[Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours
[Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC
[Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia
[Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026
[FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026
[Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem
[UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories
[Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories
[Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)
[Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France
[Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race
[Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026
[Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026
[Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages
[Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points
[Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument
[Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France
[Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories
[Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC
[Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season
[Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic
[Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race
[Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia
[Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races
[Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours
[Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage
[Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia
[Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)
[Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit
[Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel
[Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours
[UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments
[UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race
[NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race
[NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey
[Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC
[Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage
[Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix
[Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo
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7
6
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
0
Will someone I've met be elected President in either 2028 or 2032?
OptionVotes
NO
YES
4413
2269
Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?
OptionProbability
John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump
John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC
James Comey – Former FBI Director
Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows
James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN
John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI
Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama
Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden
Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama
Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden
Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump
Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States
Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump
Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella
John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama
Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC
Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm
Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein
Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump
Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama
Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden
Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff
Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden
Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding
James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter
Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations
Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump
Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States
Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump
Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division
Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm
Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein
Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller
Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General
Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump
Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office
Joe Biden – President of the United States
Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI
Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London
Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions
Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump
Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm
Curtis Heide – FBI Agent
Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration
Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama
Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump
Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command
Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump
Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection
Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs
Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare
Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General
Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development
Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division
Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm
Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"
Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump
Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS
Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump
Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel
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24
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Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)
OptionVotes
NO
YES
110
110

