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Brett Kavanaugh News

    Prediction markets for Brett Kavanaugh

    Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)

    Jan 21, 4:40 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
    18068620

    OptionProbability

    Kanye West

    Steve Bannon

    Calvin Robinson

    Eduardo Verástegui

    Andrew Tate

    Calin Georgescu

    Harry Redknapp

    David Walliams (Comedian)

    George Simion

    Tommy Robinson

    Enrique Tarrio

    @Anon99

    Alex Jones

    Another religious figure in addition to Calvin Robinson

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Julius Malema

    Matteo Salvini

    Elon Musk (again)

    Tristan Tate

    Paul Golding

    Tucker Carlson

    Pete Hegseth

    Mel Gibson

    Jacob Chansley

    Nigel Farage

    Markus Persson (Notch)

    Donald Trump Jr.

    Michael Waltz

    Donald Trump

    Any Democratic Senator, Governor, or former Presidential or Vice Presidential nominee

    Lars von Trier

    Ching Hai

    Robert Fico

    Nicolás Maduro

    Logan Paul

    Nota Baloyi

    Narendra Modi

    Kim Yo Jong

    Glenn Greenwald

    Conor McGregor

    Steve Witkoff

    Howard Lutnick

    Cory Booker

    Viktor Orban

    Dave Chappelle

    Erdoğan

    Jordan Bardella

    Pam Bondi

    JD Vance

    Ben Shapiro

    Palmer Luckey

    Larry Ellison

    Caitlyn Jenner

    Alex Karp

    Joe Exotic

    Jake Paul

    Martin Shkreli

    Sarah Palin

    Lex Fridman

    Guillaume Verdon

    Piers Morgan

    Aravind Srinivas

    Peter Pellegrini

    Alice Weidel

    Marine Le Pen

    Mohammed bin Salman

    Candace Owens

    Owen Jones

    David Holz

    Giuseppe Conte

    Valery Gerasimov

    Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    Aleksandar Vučić

    Nayib Bukele

    Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia

    Joe Rogan

    Joel Kaplan

    Javier Milei

    Emily Chang

    Claire Boucher (Grimes)

    Liv Boeree

    Sam Bankman Fried

    Sergey Lavrov

    Marion Maréchal

    Andrew Callaghan

    Liang Wenfeng

    Mario Nawfal

    Kim Dotcom

    Felix Kjellberg

    Alexander Lukashenko

    Marco Rubio

    Ghislaine Maxwell

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Ivanka Trump

    Stephen Miller

    Jiankui He

    George Hotz

    Melania Trump

    Jared Kushner

    Trey Parker

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Robert Downey Jr.

    John Cena

    Peter Thiel

    Usha Vance

    Liz Truss

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Geert Wilders

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Matt Stone

    Rudy Giuliani

    Vladimir Solovyov

    Ramzan Kadyrov

    Amichai Chikli

    Dwayne Johnson

    J.K.Rowling

    Vladimir Putin

    Jeff Bezos

    Xi Jinping

    Tim Walz

    Itamar Ben-Gvir

    joe biden

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Michelle Obama

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    22

    21

    16

    16

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    13

    10

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    1

    😈Who will go to Hell by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Feb 3, 10:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    6822404

    OptionProbability

    Dick Cheney

    Twomad

    William James Pye

    O. J. Simpson

    Anita Bryant

    Clarence Thomas

    Tomiichi Murayama

    Robert Bowers (Pittsburgh synagogue gunman)

    William Bill Post (inventor of poptart)

    Bruce Willis

    Frank O. Gehry

    Robert Redford

    Akihito

    Woody Allen

    Klaus Schwab

    Roman Polanski

    James D. Worley

    Ban Ki-moon

    Keith Richards

    Tippi Hendren

    Dan Schneider

    Mel Brooks

    William Shatner

    Ethel Kennedy

    Thomas Pynchon

    Toby Keith

    Clarence Thomas

    Matt Groening

    Joe Pesci

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Nancy Pelosi

    Charles E. Grassley

    Thomas Eugene Creech

    Raul Castro

    Meryl Streep

    Alan Greenspan

    Gary Glitter

    Slavoj Zizek

    Ringo Starr

    Al Pacino

    Samuel Alito

    Neil Gorsuch

    Volodymyr Zelensky

    Mahmoud Abbas

    Larry David

    Bill Clinton

    George Bush

    Dick van Dyke

    Mitch McConnell

    Yaroslav Hunka

    Anwar Raslan

    Dennis Rader (btk)

    Howard Stern

    Clint Eastwood

    Bill Cosby

    Ron Jeremy

    Stephen Breyer

    Judge Judy Sheindlin

    Joe Arpaio

    David Berkowitz (son of sam)

    Milan Panić

    Gene Hackman

    Noam Chomsky

    Angela Merkel

    Scott Adams (Dilbert Cartoonist)

    Jesse Jackson

    Joe Biden

    Donald Trump

    Bill Gates

    Mike Tyson

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Vladimir Putin

    King Charles III

    Bernie Sanders

    George RR Martin

    Paul McCartney

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Jose Luis Ricon

    Warren Buffett

    Pope Francis

    Bob Dylan

    Jimmy Carter

    Alexei Navalny

    Iris Apfel

    Carl Weathers

    Richard Lewis

    Kelvin Kiptum

    Juan Vicente Perez

    Bob Moore

    Sebastián Piñera

    Daniel Kahneman

    Joe Lieberman

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    44

    36

    28

    18

    16

    14

    12

    11

    10

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    1

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    0

    Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?

    Jul 9, 4:57 PMJul 17, 3:59 AM
    369438

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Elena Kagan

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    39

    37

    11

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    Which celebrity will die last in chronological order

    Mar 19, 2:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    307916

    OptionProbability

    Jimmy Donaldson (Mr.Beast) (May 7, 1998)

    Taylor Swift (Dec 13, 1989)

    Dua Lipa (Aug 22, 1995)

    Mark Zuckerberg (May 14, 1984)

    Ed Sheeran (Feb 17, 1991)

    Ariana Grande (Jun 26, 1993)

    Shohei Ohtani (Jul 5, 1994)

    Drake (Oct 24, 1986)

    Sam Bankman-Fried (Mar 6, 1992)

    Lionel Messi (Jun 24, 1987)

    Cristiano Ronaldo (Feb 5, 1985)

    Rihanna (Feb 20, 1988)

    Patrick Mahomes (Sep 17, 1995)

    Travis Kelce (Oct 5, 1989)

    Usain Bolt (Aug 21 1986)

    Beyonce (Sep 4, 1981)

    Rafael Nadal (Jun 3, 1986)

    Lebron James (Dec 30, 1984)

    Michael Phelps (Jun 30, 1985)

    Sam Altman (Apr 22, 1985)

    Serena Williams (Sep 26 1981)

    Jeff Bezos (Jan 12, 1964)

    Lil Wayne (Sep 27, 1982)

    Elizabeth Holmes (Feb 3, 1984)

    Tom Brady (Aug 3, 1977)

    Emmanuel Macron (Dec 21, 1977)

    Venus Williams (Jun 17, 1980)

    Roger Federer (Aug 8, 1981)

    Will Smith (Sep 25, 1968)

    Shou Chew (Jan 1, 1983)

    Britney Spears (Dec 2, 1981)

    Neil Gorsuch (Aug 29, 1967)

    Leonardo DiCaprio (Nov 11, 1974)

    Ron Desantis (Sep 14, 1978)

    Ryan Reynolds (Oct 23, 1976)

    Ketanji Brown Jackson (Sep 14, 1970)

    Kamala Harris (Oct 20, 1964)

    Christopher Nolan (Jul 30, 1970)

    Hakeem Jeffries (Aug 4, 1970)

    Satya Nadella (Aug 19, 1967)

    Gavin Newsom (Oct 10, 1967)

    Nikki Haley (Jan 20, 1972)

    Tiger Woods (Dec 30, 1975)

    Larry Page (Mar 26, 1973)

    Michelle Obama (Jan 17, 1964)

    Amy Coney Barrett (Jan 28, 1972)

    Brad Pitt (Dec 18, 1963)

    Jennifer Lopez (Jul 24, 1969)

    Oprah Winfrey (Jan 29, 1954)

    John G. Roberts (Jan 27, 1955)

    Jensen Huang (Feb 17, 1963)

    Brett Kavanaugh (Feb 12, 1965)

    JK Rowling (Jul 31, 1965)

    Elena Kagan (Apr 28, 1960)

    Eliezer Yudkowsky (Sep 11, 1979)

    Mike Pence (Jun 7, 1959)

    Wayne Gretzsky (Jan 26, 1961)

    Mary Barra (Dec 24, 1961)

    Erdogan (Feb 26, 1954)

    Barack Obama (Aug 4, 1961)

    Snoop Dogg (Oct 20, 1971)

    Chuck Norris (Mar 10, 1940)

    Xi Jinping (Jun 15, 1953)

    Kim Jong Un (Jan 8, 1984)

    Samuel Alito (Apr 1, 1950)

    Elon Musk (Jun 28, 1971)

    Clarence Thomas (Jun 23, 1948)

    Geoffrey Hinton (Dec 6, 1947)

    Volodymyr Zelensky (Jan 25, 1978)

    Sonia Sotomayor (Jun 25, 1954)

    Mohammed Bin Salman (Aug 31, 1985)

    Ted Cruz (Dec 22, 1970)

    Bernard Arnault (Mar 5, 1949)

    Hillary Clinton (Oct 26, 1947)

    Stephen King (Sep 21, 1947)

    Bill Clinton (Aug 19, 1946)

    George W Bush (Jul 6, 1946)

    Benjamin Netanyahu (Oct 21, 1949)

    Steven Spielberg (Dec 18, 1946)

    Quentin Tarantino (Mar 27, 1963)

    Paul McCartney (Jun 18, 1942)

    Michael Jordan (Feb 17, 1963)

    Tom Hanks (Jul 9, 1956)

    Michael Bloomberg (Feb 14, 1942)

    Bill Gates (Oct 28, 1955)

    Mitch McConnell (Feb 20, 1942)

    Donald Trump (Jun 14, 1946)

    Vladimir Putin (Oct 7, 1952)

    Joe Biden (Nov 20, 1942)

    Jill Biden (Jun 3, 1951)

    Martin Scorsese (Nov 17, 1942)

    Rudy Giuliani (May 28, 1944)

    Nancy Pelosi (Mar 26, 1940)

    Dick Van Dyke (Dec 13, 1925)

    King Charles (Nov 14, 1948)

    Mel brooks (Jun 28, 1926)

    Warren Buffet (Aug 30, 1930)

    Ali Khamenei (Apr 19, 1939)

    Jimmy Carter (Oct 1, 1924)

    Yahya Sinwar (Oct 29 1962)

    Bernie Madoff

    James Earl Jones (Jan 17, 1931)

    96

    92

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    86

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    77

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    Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?

    Aug 5, 6:56 PMAug 13, 3:59 AM
    637293

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Sonya Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Elena Kagan

    Neil Gorsuch

    40

    37

    11

    4

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?

    Nov 10, 3:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    206797

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Elena Kagan

    Neil Gorsuch

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?

    Apr 1, 3:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    204795

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    John Roberts

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Elena Kagan

    Sonia Sotomayor

    98

    97

    39

    29

    26

    11

    6

    3

    1

    Who will the next SCOTUS Justice to leave the court be?

    Nov 6, 10:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    384700

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Elena Kagan

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    A Justice not yet seated

    40

    36

    12

    5

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?

    Jul 22, 1:07 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    374532

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Sonia Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Elena Kagan

    Niel Gorsuch

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    41

    37

    12

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]

    Nov 12, 12:07 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
    183689

    OptionProbability

    Neil M. Gorsuch

    Brett M. Kavanaugh

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Elena Kagan

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    John G. Roberts, Jr.

    Sonia Sotomayor

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel A. Alito, Jr.

    93

    93

    92

    91

    91

    87

    83

    55

    45

    Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?

    Apr 9, 2:44 PMApr 17, 3:59 AM
    242905

    OptionProbability

    Amy Coney Barrett

    Ketanji Brown Jackson

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    John Roberts

    Elena Kagan

    Samuel Alito

    Sonia Sotomayor

    Clarence Thomas

    17

    17

    14

    13

    9

    9

    5

    5

    4

    Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?

    Dec 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    21756

    OptionProbability

    Clarence Thomas

    Samuel Alito

    Sonya Sotomayor

    John Roberts

    Neil Gorsuch

    Brett Kavanaugh

    Elena Kagan

    Amy Coney-Barrett

    Ketanji Brown-Jackson

    39

    33

    10

    7

    4

    3

    2

    1

    1

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