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Prediction markets for Brett Kavanaugh
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
Jan 21, 4:40 PMJan 31, 4:59 AM
19572869
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
38
22
21
17
16
16
16
15
14
14
13
13
12
12
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
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8
8
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5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
OptionProbability
56
23
12
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
54
25
14
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
96
93
91
89
89
86
85
81
80
80
80
79
77
77
76
74
74
74
73
72
71
69
69
69
69
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68
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68
67
66
63
62
62
61
59
59
58
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56
55
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55
54
54
53
53
53
53
49
48
45
43
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41
39
38
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35
33
32
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32
31
30
30
30
29
28
28
27
27
26
24
21
21
18
16
16
14
13
11
10
10
9
8
6
6
5
4
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
59
26
6
3
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
59
27
5
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
Apr 1, 3:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
204849
OptionProbability
98
97
52
34
26
11
6
3
1
As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]
Nov 12, 12:07 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
213825
OptionProbability
93
93
92
91
91
87
86
44
34
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Jul 31, 2:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
74.53%chance
322998
OptionVotes
1711
585
OptionProbability
22
17
13
13
9
9
5
5
4
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 5:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
231488
OptionProbability
8
7
4
4
3
3
3
2
2
Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?
Dec 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24941
OptionProbability
67
21
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
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