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Prediction markets for Brett Kavanaugh
Who will do an apparent Nazi salute during Trump's second term? (add answers)
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
62
31
28
17
17
16
16
16
14
14
13
13
13
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
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6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
😈Who will go to Hell by EOY 2025 according to Manifold? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
100
100
97
83
80
75
73
66
54
52
44
43
39
31
27
26
26
25
24
23
23
21
21
21
20
18
18
17
17
14
14
14
13
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
9
9
9
9
8
7
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
96
92
90
86
86
84
83
77
76
75
75
74
72
71
67
66
66
66
66
64
64
62
61
61
60
59
59
59
59
56
54
52
52
52
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
48
44
44
43
41
38
37
35
35
34
34
34
34
34
33
30
30
28
26
26
26
26
25
25
24
24
24
23
23
22
22
21
21
21
21
20
19
18
17
17
16
14
12
12
11
11
11
9
8
8
6
6
5
5
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
38
36
12
5
3
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
39
36
13
4
2
2
2
1
1
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
OptionProbability
7
7
6
6
3
3
2
2
2
OptionProbability
39
35
13
6
2
2
1
1
1
0
As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]
OptionProbability
93
93
91
91
91
87
83
57
56
OptionProbability
38
35
13
5
3
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
30
22
18
17
9
9
5
5
4
If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
OptionProbability
92
75
25
25
25
20
7
6
5
Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?
OptionProbability
39
32
10
7
4
3
2
1
1