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Prediction markets for Brian Welle
Will multiple credible sources claim GPT-5 is sentient?
May 15, 7:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
9.93%chance
221931
OptionVotes
2199
770
When will the next terminal launch of an orbital rocket that results in a fatality occur?
Mar 21, 4:56 AMMar 29, 3:59 AM
121161
OptionProbability
14
13
11
11
11
7
7
6
6
6
5
2
2
Will evidence emerge that Bo Xilai kidnapped Xi Jinping during a power struggle prior to Xi's ascension to Chairman?
Apr 9, 10:42 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.09%chance
21723
OptionVotes
1144
962
Will the 2028 US Presidental Election Winner be a Governor?
Nov 1, 1:53 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
26.61%chance
390
OptionVotes
1021
939
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