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Prediction markets for Buffett

When will Warren Buffett stop being Berkshire Hathaway's chief executive officer?

Aug 31, 2:20 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

2411281

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2023

2024

Other

98

1

0

0

0

Will Warren Buffett cease to be CEO of Berkshire Hathaway before the end of 2025?

Jul 17, 6:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93.26%chance

251512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

372

27

Will BRKA hits $1,000,000 before Warren Buffett dies?

Feb 16, 9:59 PMFeb 24, 6:29 PM

37.47%chance

10942

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

129

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.66%chance

12862

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1790

848

What will Berkshire Hathaway (Warren Buffett) decide to do regarding its cash position [$157.24 B] until EOY 2025?

Feb 23, 11:46 AMApr 1, 9:59 PM

10846

OptionProbability

> 10% increase [> ~ $172.96B]

stays about the same within ±10% [> ~ $141.52 B; < ~ $172.96B]

> 10% decrease [< ~ $141.52 B]

92

5

3

Warren Buffett passes away before officially retiring?

May 3, 11:58 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

19.31%chance

20671

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

49

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.19%chance

13632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

920

Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?

May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.26%chance

18442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

192

52

Will Warren Buffett be alive through the end of 2025?

Jan 23, 1:46 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.46%chance

13435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

253

103

Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.05%chance

3260

OptionVotes

YES

NO

370

68

[Long Bet clone (854)] market cap of Berkshire Hathaway above Tesla on Warren Buffett's 100th birthday.

Apr 24, 11:13 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Will Morris Chang live longer than Warren Buffett?

Nov 10, 8:18 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.15%chance

212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

82

60

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