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Prediction markets for Buffett
OptionProbability
45
25
7
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
5826767
OptionProbability
67
26
25
21
20
20
20
18
18
17
17
15
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will BRKA hits $1,000,000 before Warren Buffett dies?
Feb 16, 9:59 PMFeb 24, 6:29 PM
70.47%chance
111119
OptionVotes
243
52
How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?
Apr 2, 12:54 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
161046
OptionProbability
48
32
11
4
2
2
2
OptionVotes
1915
834
OptionVotes
1520
918
Will Warren Buffett die within 1 year of formally retiring?
May 3, 7:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12.99%chance
20508
OptionVotes
259
39
OptionVotes
304
33
Will Warren Buffett (CEO of Berkshire Hathaway) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 15, 1:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.05%chance
3260
OptionVotes
370
68
OptionVotes
167
78
[Long Bet clone (854)] market cap of Berkshire Hathaway above Tesla on Warren Buffett's 100th birthday.
Apr 24, 11:13 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
225
OptionVotes
129
101
OptionVotes
82
60
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