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Prediction markets for Chamath
Which Trump allies will become Trump critics (or otherwise break from Trump) by the midterms?
Nov 10, 7:17 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM
1007146
OptionProbability
80
59
57
55
54
51
48
45
45
44
42
38
32
30
28
20
16
15
14
13
9
Will I consider Sam Altman a grifter by the end of 2026?
Jul 27, 3:26 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
58.92%chance
684764
OptionVotes
1205
824
OptionProbability
386
103
Chamath prediction: democrats lose one of California or New York by 2032?
Nov 9, 8:00 AMNov 1, 1:59 PM
34.03%chance
8490
OptionVotes
1392
718
Chamath prediction: Will David Sacks run for governor of California by 2026?
Nov 11, 6:36 AMNov 3, 12:59 PM
8.9%chance
7220
OptionVotes
320
31
OptionVotes
104
82
OptionProbability
30
18
18
18
16


