Childs News
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Prediction markets for Childs
Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.08%chance
188507
OptionVotes
6378
3288
When Aella has a child, the identity of the father will be a straight male
Jul 19, 5:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
56.6%chance
516146
OptionVotes
1069
912
Will the proposed 5,000$ per child tax credit be signed into law before November 7 2028?
Aug 18, 2:06 PMDec 2, 6:59 AM
30.29%chance
75041
OptionVotes
12910
8301
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
Oct 23, 10:05 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
77.78%chance
404006
OptionVotes
1525
823
Will Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?
Nov 9, 2:29 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM
49.22%chance
243307
OptionVotes
10581
9400
If Taylor Swift is expecting a child before 2027, will she use a surrogate?
Dec 2, 7:11 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
26.57%chance
152223
OptionVotes
1662
602
When Aella has a child, the father will have a known Twitter account with >10k followers at time of birth
Jul 19, 5:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
66.07%chance
292119
OptionVotes
1444
656
OptionVotes
1070
702
OptionVotes
1640
790
If we buy a new car seat for our next child, will they cry less in the car?
Feb 10, 4:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.44%chance
211283
OptionVotes
1062
770
Will there be a child polymath of unprecedented talent before 2045?
Aug 5, 8:33 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
24.95%chance
81205
OptionVotes
1734
577
OptionVotes
1018
982