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Prediction markets for Chris Best
Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?
Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM
6.31%chance
906445
OptionVotes
1978
1525
Will Google provide security and Android version updates for the Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro until October 2030?
Oct 7, 5:31 AMOct 1, 1:59 PM
71%chance
334500
OptionVotes
1362
769
OptionProbability
73
9
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1835
557
Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2026
May 5, 2:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.55%chance
15745
OptionVotes
1600
920
OptionVotes
252
129
Will Mojo displace Python as the language of most AI papers on Arxiv by 2030
May 5, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.23%chance
16564
OptionVotes
1310
915
Will there be a new youngest winner for the Academy Awards Oscar for Best Actor by April 1st 2029? (29 years old)
Dec 13, 5:48 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM
63.83%chance
23505
OptionVotes
1080
940
Will Ralph Fiennes win the Academy Award Oscar for for Best Actor by the end of 2029?
May 3, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
10.91%chance
4189
OptionVotes
286
35
How many Books will be considered "The Best" by Wikipedia on Jan 1st 2030?
Dec 9, 8:28 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
790
OptionProbability
24
22
19
19
8
8
Will the Harlem Globetrotters lose again before Jan 1st 2030?
Dec 14, 12:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
38.43%chance
490
OptionVotes
130
125
Will Tommy Gregory Thompson give up the details of his 500 gold coins and be freed from jail by the end of 2028?
Jul 6, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.89%chance
453
OptionVotes
131
76