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Prediction markets for Coe
OptionProbability
37
24
7
6
6
6
4
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?
May 20, 1:17 AMMay 18, 12:00 AM
63.18%chance
4511
OptionVotes
1310
763
What dollar amount of grants will Coefficient Giving's Navigating Transformative AI fund list in 2026?
Apr 12, 8:47 AMApr 12, 10:59 PM
2510
OptionProbability
99
92
89
85
80
75
Will Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026?
Jul 21, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
92.76%chance
12481
OptionVotes
358
28
Will the US Gini coefficient as measured by the World Bank exceed 41.5 in 2028?
Oct 31, 2:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
84.12%chance
7372
OptionVotes
237
49
OptionProbability
42
24
9
8
8
8
OptionProbability
43
22
10
9
9
8
OptionProbability
352
347
Will a Coelacanth survive in an aquarium for more than a year by EOY2031
Feb 6, 6:35 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.41%chance
6120
OptionVotes
121
83
OptionVotes
187
51
Will a captive coelecanth live in aquarium for more than 3 years by 2032
May 17, 2:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.98%chance
387
OptionVotes
120
83
Will Coefficient Giving make a grant to MIRI in 2026, 2027 or 2028?
Apr 12, 8:03 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM
49.19%chance
445
OptionVotes
102
98