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Top stories

CNN’s Tiffany Cross Labels Stephen Miller ‘White Supremacist’ During Panel

Authors

8

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Cross

If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?

Mar 9, 10:33 PMOct 31, 6:59 AM

9.5%chance

2126162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2938

518

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3621650

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2026

Not before 2030

2025 or earlier

39

26

17

9

8

1

Will a Bering Strait crossing be announced by Russia and the US, before Jan 20 2029?

Mar 6, 9:37 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM

10.2%chance

92131

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2967

337

Ahmed al Ahmed awarded Cross of Valour for disarming Bondi shooter by EOY 2026?

Dec 14, 12:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.46%chance

101932

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1664

601

Will India's GDP cross $7 trillion by 2030?

Jul 31, 1:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

60.59%chance

351801

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1027

914

Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030

Mar 26, 6:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.39%chance

201032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

812

Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.

Dec 24, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

27.15%chance

17792

OptionVotes

NO

YES

990

970

Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average cross 50,000 by March 31, 2026, the end of the fiscal quarter.

Jan 7, 2:02 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

73.95%chance

6697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1685

593

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.87%chance

16543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

969

Will another manmade probe cross the heliopause before 2075?

Sep 17, 2:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

88.49%chance

14501

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

937

Will Volcanic Island cross $1000 before 2030?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.58%chance

3436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1406

711

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.22%chance

13326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1122

944

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