Crowley News

Record Flash Flooding Cancels Wisconsin State Fair Final Day, Causes Historic Sewer Overflow and Damage in Milwaukee; Sen. Baldwin Calls for FEMA Aid

1 year ago

Did Russia assassinate Lindsey Graham?

Jul 13, 11:06 AMJan 1, 12:04 PM

5.29%chance

17904

OptionVotes

YES

423

Will Wales become a US state before 2045?

Jun 13, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.33%chance

10623

OptionVotes

YES

539

Will Maine join the EU before 2060?

Jun 22, 6:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.19%chance

5405

OptionVotes

YES

389

Was the Irkutsk plague produced by gain-of-function research?

Oct 6, 12:49 PMOct 1, 12:48 PM

18.26%chance

12287

OptionVotes

YES

757

537

Airstrike on a UK datacenter before 2035?

Jul 8, 11:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

5254

OptionVotes

YES

248

Will a substantial ancient manuscript copy of Pytheas of Massalia’s On the Ocean be discovered before 2050?

Aug 16, 5:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.82%chance

9216

OptionVotes

YES

165

Who is the antichrist?

Aug 21, 1:45 PMJan 1, 2:40 PM

14215

OptionProbability

Sam Altman

Peter Thiel

the antichrist

Any political or economic abstraction, such as "the state" or "capitalism"

Other

Donald Trump

The emperor Nero

Artificial superintelligence (any)

Elon Musk

Anyone who denies the Father and the Son (1 John 2:22)

The Pope (any)

Aleister Crowley

proto-gnostics in ancient Ephesus

Mark Zuckerberg

My vegetarian friend who only eats meat once a year on Good Friday

Will the US force ASML to halt exports to China before 2029?

Jun 28, 1:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

1116

OptionVotes

YES

100

Will there be a trend spike for The Third Man Theme before 2038?

May 19, 1:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.18%chance

285

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will 8,000+ clinical trials for innovative drugs be initiated globally in a single year before 2035?

Aug 24, 12:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.94%chance

420

OptionVotes

YES

102

Will the US cut ASML off Cymer before 2030?

Jul 3, 9:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.06%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

115

Will ASI be more aligned with the 1% than the 99% in 2040?

Oct 11, 10:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

110

Crowley News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Crowley

Prediction markets for Crowley

Prediction markets for Crowley

Did Russia assassinate Lindsey Graham?

Will Wales become a US state before 2045?

Will Maine join the EU before 2060?

Was the Irkutsk plague produced by gain-of-function research?

Airstrike on a UK datacenter before 2035?

Will a substantial ancient manuscript copy of Pytheas of Massalia’s On the Ocean be discovered before 2050?

Who is the antichrist?

Will the US force ASML to halt exports to China before 2029?

Will there be a trend spike for The Third Man Theme before 2038?

Will 8,000+ clinical trials for innovative drugs be initiated globally in a single year before 2035?

Will the US cut ASML off Cymer before 2030?

Will ASI be more aligned with the 1% than the 99% in 2040?

Latest stories