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Cy Young News

    Prediction markets for Cy Young

    OptionProbability

    human steps on moon again

    trump dies

    trump is impeached by either house OR senate

    grok 6 release date

    Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more

    Earthquake magnitude 8.5 or higher somewhere in the world

    Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube

    polymarket or kalshi release a credit/debit card

    Netanyahu out as PM of israel

    windows 12 announcement is made

    Chat GPT 6 releases to the general userbase

    trump bombs / invades / attacks mexican territory

    playstation 6 announced

    Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

    israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will

    putin or zelensky lose power

    Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or more

    Saw XI Releases in USA

    Bitcoin reaches 125K usd or more

    polymarket or kalshi ipo

    haunted chocolatier release date known

    GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86

    alan greenspan passes away

    yoko ono passes away

    stripe ipo happens

    apple announces a touchscreen laptop

    noam chomsky passes away

    onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube

    Ukraine and Russia announce any ceasefire

    Bitcoin reaches 130K usd or more

    commercial airline hijacked

    EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26

    spacex IPO happens

    Kier Starmer out

    undersea cables reported cut around taiwan

    someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard

    EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27

    new super smash bros game announced (NOT A REMAKE)

    manifold raises more money

    Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher somewhere in the world

    twitter/x releases x mail to some users

    iphone fold release date known

    openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo

    Cy Young award winner announced

    marijuana rescheduled as a drug in the USA

    ozempic/wegovy/glp-1 pill approved by the fda

    Last game of the MLB World Series ends

    EOD Halloween - Oct 31

    Imu face reveal in One Piece manga

    another trump assassination attempt

    nobel peace prize winner announced

    discord IPO happens

    Patriot Games ending day

    EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9

    Legally Blonde 3 release date announced

    tropico 7 releases

    fable (2026) releases

    Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users

    apple announces a smart ring

    Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

    First game of the MLB World Series starts

    Third dune movie officially announced

    fourth Knives Out movie announced

    beyonce releases an album

    drake releases an album

    playboi carti releases an album

    Patriot Games starting day

    English Wikipedia reaches 7.2M ARTICLES or more

    Hades 3 announced (game)

    the first Solar eclipse of the year

    coup in an african country

    Spacex launches 100th rocket in one year

    fifa world cup - last game ends

    Taylor swift gets married

    Manifest 2026 starts

    Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

    the second Atlantic hurricane of the season

    the second Pacific hurricane of the season

    Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year

    the start of Amazon Prime Day(s)

    EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4

    grok 5 release date

    llama 5 release date

    the first Pacific hurricane of the season

    the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

    EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5

    Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year

    Last day of the NFL draft

    artemis II mission launches

    EOD Ides of March - Mar 15

    new iphone releases (in the USA)

    trump removes a cabinet member

    First Apple Event of the year

    the first Lunar eclipse of the year

    Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year

    manifold launches real money trading

    EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras

    nioh 3 releases in the usa (game)

    First Nintendo direct of the year

    doomsday clock announcement made

    98

    93

    90

    87

    87

    85

    83

    83

    83

    82

    80

    78

    76

    76

    76

    76

    73

    72

    71

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    66

    65

    65

    62

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    61

    59

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    57

    56

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    56

    55

    55

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    49

    46

    46

    46

    43

    38

    36

    36

    34

    34

    34

    31

    31

    28

    25

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    24

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    18

    15

    14

    14

    11

    10

    9

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    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    OptionProbability

    At least 720 strikeouts (how many Daisuke Matsuzaka got)

    At least 800 strikeouts

    At least 934 strikeouts (how many Hyun Jin Ryu got)

    At least 1000 strikeouts

    At least 1100 strikeouts

    At least 1173 strikeouts (how many Mariano Rivera got)

    At least 1300 strikeouts

    At least 1400 strikeouts

    At least 1500 strikeouts

    At least 1600 strikeouts

    At least 1715 strikeouts (how many Chan Ho Park got)

    At least 1918 strikeouts (how many Hideo Nomo got)

    At least 2074 strikeouts (how many Fernando Valenzuela got)

    At least 2245 strikeouts (how many Tommy John got)

    At least 2535 strikeouts (how many Bartolo Colon got)

    At least 2803 strikeouts (how many Cy Young got)

    90

    90

    55

    55

    52

    51

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    41

    24

    14

    Will Shohei Ohtani win a Cy Young Award before 2030?

    Oct 4, 12:41 AMFeb 22, 1:29 PM
    28.39%chance
    6215

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    159

    63

    Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win a Cy Young Award before 2036?

    Apr 19, 8:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    40.39%chance
    5120

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    121

    82

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