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Danae News

    Prediction markets for Danae

    Who will be on the 2025 Time Person of the Year shortlist?

    Jun 25, 7:44 PMDec 12, 11:59 PM
    200120659

    OptionProbability

    Pope Leo XIV

    Donald Trump

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jensen Huang

    Artificial Intelligence (AI)

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Ahmed Al-Sharaa

    Elon Musk

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Charlie Kirk

    Sam Altman

    Jerome Powell

    Taylor Swift

    Nicolas Maduro

    Mark Carney

    Xi Jinping

    Nayib Bukele

    Sanae Takaichi

    Lee Jae Myung

    Sundar Pichai

    Gisèle Pelicot

    Vladimir Putin

    Demis Hassabis

    Narendra Modi

    Marco Rubio

    Kilmar Abrego Garcia

    J.D. Vance

    Keir Starmer

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Sushila Karki

    Mohammed bin Salman

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Peter Thiel

    Brendan Foody

    Surya Midha

    Satya Nadella

    Dario Amodei

    Nick Fuentes

    Larry Page

    Antonio Guterres

    Pam Bondi

    Kim Jong Un

    Steve Witkoff

    Ms. Rachel

    Scott Bessent

    Bad Bunny

    Imran Khan

    Jane Goodall

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Gavin Newsom

    Stephen Miller

    Pete Hegseth

    Tim Cook

    Jeff Bezos

    Emmanuel Macron

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Jimmy Donaldson

    Adarsh Hiremath

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Mike Johnson

    Jeffrey Epstein

    Kash Patel

    Sydney Sweeney

    Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Dana White

    Howard Lutnick

    Maverick Trevillian

    Kamala Harris

    Stephen Colbert

    Lei Jun (CEO Xiaomi)

    Nasry Asfura

    Mahmoud Khalil

    Larry Ellison

    Greta Thunberg

    Kendrick Lamar

    Javier Milei

    Tucker Carlson

    David Ellison

    Bubba

    94

    80

    70

    64

    56

    43

    33

    32

    25

    22

    17

    16

    15

    14

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    1

    What will be true of the first Enhanced Games?

    Feb 2, 5:10 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
    574759

    OptionProbability

    It won’t happen by the end of 2025

    The IOC and/or US Olympic committee will threaten participation bans against anyone participating in the Enhanced Games

    Participants from 10 or more countries will enter the Games

    It will run over budget

    Athletes from the United States will win the most events

    A woman will break a formal world record previously held by a man, for any amount of time

    There will be a restriction on political speech by participants and/or their teams by the Games

    Some enhancing substance or surgery will be banned by the Games (not just by law)

    A country will ban or restrict participation in the Enhanced Games

    Dana White will attend the Enhanced Games

    A Fortune 100 company or brand will sponsor the Enhanced Games

    Swimming, gymnastics, weightlifting, track and field, and combat will be the ONLY event categories

    Watching the Games online will be officially free in the United States (with or without ads)

    There will be a protest of 1000+ people outside of the of the event for at least 1 hour, on one day

    It will turn a profit

    A prominent financial backer will bail out of the project before the Games

    A leg is lost (whatever that means)

    50 or more formal world records will be broken

    Participants from 25 or more countries will enter the Games

    A nation's prime minister, president, monarch, or other world leader will attend the Enhanced Games

    Someone will run the 100 meter dash faster than 9.58 seconds

    Athletes from Russia will win the most events

    Athletes from China will win the most events

    10 or more formal world records will be broken

    An athlete will become paralyzed, braindead, or otherwise severely disabled (but not killed) during training or competition for the Games

    It will be a culture war adjacent topic

    Someone will die while competing, or up to 24 hours after competing

    Athletes from India will win the most events

    The Enhanced Games will start and finish before the end of Q3 2025

    Politically left people will be more likely to support it

    99

    85

    79

    78

    71

    70

    67

    65

    60

    59

    58

    55

    50

    50

    47

    41

    36

    35

    35

    32

    28

    23

    19

    19

    19

    14

    11

    3

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Josh D’Amaro

    Other

    Dana Walden

    Jimmy Pitaro

    Andrew Wilson

    Tom Staggs

    Kevin Mayerr

    Nelson Peltz

    Ynon Kreiz

    Tim Cook

    50

    21

    15

    6

    5

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    146

    69

    Will Dana White be UFC President by Jan 1st 2026?

    Jan 4, 11:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    95.36%chance
    6385

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    293

    28

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    211

    121

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    713

    423

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    212

    47

    Will Dana White be UFC President by Jan 1st 2027?

    Jan 4, 11:57 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    64.35%chance
    3155

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    67

    37

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1144

    874

    Who will be the CEO of Disney on Jan 1, 2027

    Oct 23, 9:31 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    783

    OptionProbability

    Robert Iger

    Josh D’Amaro

    Other

    Dana Walden

    Alan Bergman

    Jimmy Pitaro

    51

    26

    8

    5

    5

    5

    Will Dana White be UFC President by Jan 1st 2028?

    Jan 4, 11:55 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    44%chance
    211

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    108

    92

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