Darwin Núñez News
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Prediction markets for Darwin Núñez
[Mega-market - add options] Who will directly and intentionally kill someone in their lifetime?
Mar 29, 12:56 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
192474
OptionProbability
100
13
7
7
6
4
4
4
3
Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?
Aug 23, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
19.92%chance
21005
OptionVotes
2005
499
Will Aubrey Darwin Niederhoffer become a Thiel Fellow before 2028?
Oct 30, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.53%chance
4704
OptionVotes
1671
605
OptionVotes
658
90
OptionProbability
79
66
62
50
50
50
4
OptionProbability
29
20
10
8
7
6
5
5
5
5
OptionProbability
41
38
35
34
34
34
34
34
34
34
25
25
OptionVotes
172
91
Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos win a Darwin award by EOY 2040?
Jan 1, 1:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.5%chance
6177
OptionVotes
267
92
OptionProbability
24
24
24
24
24
24
24
Will China's Darwin neuromorphic chip create an LLM in 2026?
Nov 29, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.86%chance
265
OptionVotes
165
61
OptionProbability
75
66
66
66
50
50
50
50


