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Do Kwon News

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM

3.29%chance

10332752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10281

873

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2026?

Jul 26, 8:19 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

2.38%chance

5617651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5396

705

Will Kwon Young-Wan win a Nobel Prize?

Aug 1, 9:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.9%chance

304723

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4205

716

Who will Trump pardon in 2025? [Polymarket]

Jul 27, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

212875

OptionProbability

Changpeng Zhao

Ghislaine Maxwell

Roger Ver

Diddy

Steve Bannon

Eric Adams

Joe Exotic

Rudy Giuliani

Matt Gaetz

Elizabeth Holmes

Derek Chauvin

George Santos

Bob Menendez

Julian Assange

Do Kwon

Young Thug

Daniel Penny

Himself

Roger Stone

Elon Musk

Sam Bankman-Fried

Hunter Biden

Edward Snowden

Antoine Massey

26

15

13

12

10

9

7

6

6

6

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

4

4

4

4

Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

262614

OptionProbability

Other

[None - Position will cease to exist]

Mira Murati

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Greg Brockman

Bret Taylor

Larry Summers

Adam D'Angelo

Andrej Karpathy

Eric Schmidt

Paul Graham

Peter Thiel

Wojciech Zaremba

Ben Horowitz

Jessica Livingston

Marc Benioff

Sheryl Sandberg

Tim Cook

John Doerr

Reed Hastings

Fei Fei Lee

Alexander Wang

George Hotz

Brad Lightcap

Bob Mcgrew

Peter Welinder

Jason Kwon

Mark Chen

Helen Toner

Ilya Sutskever

Emmett Shear

Dario Amodei

Satya Nadela

Jeff Bezos

Demis Hassabis

Robin Li

Clément Delangue

Lila Ibrahim

Alex Karp

Reid Hoffman

Raquel Urtasun

Marc Andreessen

Aidan Gomez

Sandra Rivera

Gary Marcus

Jaime Teevan

Sundar Pichai

Jack Clark

Anna Makanju

Shane Legg

Andrew Ng

Pushmeet Kohli

Yann LeCun

Mark Zuckerberg

Yoshua Bengio

Hinton

Marissa Mayer

Spencer Rascoff

Garry Tan

51

12

5

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2030?

Sep 5, 9:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.97%chance

9482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

454

125

Nobel Prize by 2035 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?

Aug 1, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.77%chance

12204

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1067

970

If Nobel prize for LK-99 authors, who will be the third person to win the prize?

Jul 28, 3:18 AMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

470

OptionProbability

Young-Wan Kwon

Hyun-Tak Kim

No other recipient

Sungyeon Im

Multiple people

44

20

20

8

8

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