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Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?
Jul 28, 10:19 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM
2.86%chance
10434210
OptionVotes
11424
837
OptionVotes
4172
717
OptionProbability
52
12
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
37
32
29
29
28
27
26
26
25
25
25
23
23
23
22
19
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2030?
Sep 5, 9:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.43%chance
9732
OptionVotes
704
117
Nobel Prize by 2035 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?
Aug 1, 6:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
80.77%chance
12204
OptionVotes
1067
970
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