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Prediction markets for Drago
OptionProbability
2776
1981
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2027?
Aug 26, 8:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
45.81%chance
10421639
OptionVotes
1088
919
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2028?
Aug 26, 8:36 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
91.79%chance
277792
OptionVotes
3343
299
Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029?
Aug 26, 8:37 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
94.66%chance
154931
OptionVotes
4210
238
A biological creature aesthetically recognizable as a dragon will exist on earth by 2060
Sep 27, 3:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
52.05%chance
303314
OptionVotes
1233
597
Will NASA's Dragonfly mission discover any form of life on Titan by December 31, 2035?
Sep 18, 12:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6.47%chance
43286
OptionVotes
3802
263
OptionVotes
1000
978
OptionProbability
49
26
21
3
OptionVotes
1552
885
Will we be able to sell the manifest dragon shirt designed by @etirabys in the manifold merch store?
Jan 26, 7:57 PMDec 31, 7:56 PM
54.29%chance
9950
OptionVotes
1090
918
Will NASA's Dragonfly rotorcraft make at least one powered flight on Titan?
Sep 17, 2:21 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
86.04%chance
10303
OptionVotes
1167
951
Will the season 4 premiere of House of the Dragon receive fewer than 20 million viewers?
Jun 30, 3:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
47.04%chance
655
OptionVotes
106
94