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Prediction markets for Dro
Will we develop Leopold's 'drop-in remote AI workers' by end of 2027?
Jun 10, 7:37 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
70%chance
227113753
OptionVotes
1528
655
OptionVotes
1674
597
Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?
Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM
80%chance
4624367
OptionVotes
3882
2007
OptionProbability
76
5
5
4
3
1
1
1
1
1
Will US Housing Prices Drop by 20%+ by the End of 2030?
Jun 14, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
12.07%chance
2711096
OptionVotes
2699
371
In the next five years, will Nvidia's stock drop by 30% from its price at market close on 3/7/24?
Mar 8, 1:23 PMMar 9, 4:59 AM
27.54%chance
889591
OptionVotes
1834
449
Will Google's search market share drop below 85% in 2025?
Jan 22, 4:21 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
10.93%chance
208398
OptionVotes
17074
8778
If Pete Hegseth is confirmed, will he be seen drinking a drop of alcohol while he is Secretary of Defense?
Dec 5, 6:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
51.84%chance
363566
OptionVotes
1104
1096
OptionVotes
1187
564
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM
58.35%chance
441723
OptionVotes
1113
786
Will Chinese economic growth drop below the upper middle-income GDP growth average in any year before 2031?
Jan 10, 11:14 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
65.1%chance
381429
OptionVotes
1046
900
[Metaculus] Will an aerial drone terrorist attack result in an injury or death in the United States before 2026?
Apr 26, 5:18 PMJan 2, 11:00 AM
19.77%chance
12994
OptionVotes
3413
2468
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