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Prediction markets for Elena Kagan
Whose departure will cause the next vacant U.S. Supreme Court seat ?
Oct 9, 3:38 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
638534
OptionProbability
39
35
12
5
3
2
2
1
1
0
OptionProbability
96
92
90
86
86
84
83
77
76
75
75
74
72
71
67
66
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66
66
64
64
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56
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48
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30
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12
12
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11
9
8
8
6
6
5
5
3
2
1
1
OptionProbability
38
36
12
5
3
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
40
36
13
4
2
2
1
1
1
Which Justices will cease to be members of the US Supreme Court before the end of 2025?
Nov 10, 3:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
185755
OptionProbability
7
6
6
6
4
4
4
2
2
OptionProbability
39
35
13
6
2
2
1
1
1
0
As 2029 begins, who will be a justice on the Supreme Court of the United States? [w/ user-added answers]
Nov 12, 12:07 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
163664
OptionProbability
93
93
91
91
91
87
83
57
56
OptionProbability
38
35
13
5
3
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
30
22
18
17
9
9
5
5
4
If the Supreme Court revisits Obergefell by 2029, who will vote against a constitutional right to same-sex marriage?
Apr 1, 3:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
91922
OptionProbability
92
75
25
25
25
20
7
6
5
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM
28.59%chance
151049
OptionVotes
1581
633
Who will be the next member of the Supreme Court to vacate the bench?
Dec 1, 9:50 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
21750
OptionProbability
39
32
10
7
4
3
2
1
1
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