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Prediction markets for Eli Lilly
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Oct 14, 3:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
230123790
OptionProbability
20
13
11
11
11
10
9
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
What will be the most valuable company in the world at the end of 2030?
Dec 14, 6:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6219845
OptionProbability
16
13
12
11
10
8
7
7
5
3
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which companies will be in the Top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2026?
Jan 1, 3:42 PMDec 1, 12:00 AM
3216476
OptionProbability
99
99
99
99
99
95
90
68
62
57
51
46
11
9
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3516254
OptionProbability
99
97
93
92
91
88
88
87
84
83
81
79
75
75
72
59
49
48
43
41
40
39
39
39
38
38
37
36
34
31
30
28
26
24
23
23
20
20
18
12
10
9
9
9
8
7
7
6
6
3
Which company will be among the top 5 publicly traded companies in the world by market cap at the end of 2030?
Mar 1, 7:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
379181
OptionProbability
94
89
84
73
40
37
30
28
26
17
13
11
7
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionProbability
42
9
8
5
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Will there be an FDA approved medication to lower lp(a) by the end of 2027?
Jan 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.52%chance
101611
OptionVotes
2333
429
OptionProbability
22
14
11
11
11
9
8
7
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which of the world's 10 largest companies* will still be in the top 10 by 2030?
Jan 16, 8:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
12501
OptionProbability
86
83
80
70
59
56
38
37
35
34
Will 10% or more of the top 20 biggest companies today still be in the top 20 in 2050?
Apr 17, 7:54 PMDec 14, 12:00 PM
72%chance
14346
OptionVotes
1091
949
Will David A. Ricks (CEO of Eli Lilly) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Mar 29, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.47%chance
5191
OptionVotes
272
92
Outcomes of Eli Lilly's attempt to get retatrutide classified as a biologic vs. a regular drug?
Oct 24, 1:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
341
OptionProbability
50
50
50
41
41


