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Top stories

Trump Opens New Scottish Golf Course After Trip Blending Diplomacy and Protest

US Foreign Policy

Trump Opens New Scottish Golf Course After Trip Blending Diplomacy and Protest

Authors

20

4 days ago

Prediction markets for Eric

Will Eric Adams be re-elected mayor of New York City in 2025?

Sep 13, 8:22 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

5.31%chance

12442763

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4206

467

Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?

Oct 13, 11:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

97.53%chance

11829256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7140

341

Will Kathy Hochul remove Eric Adams from office?

Sep 27, 6:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.73%chance

7126350

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5080

197

Eric Adams switches party affiliation from Democrat before January 1, 2026

Dec 4, 3:07 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

66.33%chance

2510505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1404

712

Will Eric Adams win a second term as mayor of New York City?

Oct 10, 2:15 PMNov 16, 4:59 AM

8.92%chance

228474

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2617

687

Will Eric Adams resign as Mayor of New York City before his term is over?

Oct 5, 1:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.51%chance

345824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1258

12

Will Eric Adams face prison time from the current charges brought against him?

Sep 26, 4:50 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.46%chance

174360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3522

284

Levy Rozman (Gotham Chess) or Eric Rosen becomes a GM by 2035

Jan 24, 10:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.01%chance

423064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

968

Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025

Apr 12, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67%chance

232093

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

702

Under which party will Eric Adams appear on the 2025 NYC mayoral election ballot?

Nov 12, 7:48 PMNov 5, 4:59 AM

81758

OptionProbability

Independent

Democrat

Republican

99

1

0

Will a general molecular assembler, as imagined by Eric Drexler, be built before 2035?

Nov 2, 4:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

32.46%chance

14587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

442

Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)

Feb 13, 7:22 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

48.11%chance

10500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

963

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