Erik News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Erik
OptionProbability
49
30
9
8
5
5
2
1
JD Vance and Erika Kirk run for president and VP in 2028?
Nov 17, 3:41 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM
4%chance
196841
OptionVotes
4904
204
Which of the following players will win at least 1 WSOP bracelet between 2025 and 2030 (inclusive)?
Jun 3, 1:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32925
OptionProbability
100
100
100
69
65
59
59
55
55
55
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
31
OptionProbability
71
15
12
1
1
0
0
OptionProbability
20
18
13
6
5
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will Erik Hoel create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 5:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
64%chance
16307
OptionVotes
1060
959
Will Erik Voorhees (founder of ShapeShift exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Jan 18, 12:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.57%chance
6269
OptionVotes
326
104
OptionProbability
35
30
28
25
22
20
18
15
12
10
Will Econ 102 with Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg reach episode 100?
Feb 29, 2:19 PMMay 5, 2:29 PM
89.4%chance
2230
OptionVotes
347
45
OptionProbability
53
9
5
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Will William Eden's kids get proper aristocratic tutoring sourced in part by Erik Hoel?
Sep 21, 11:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20%chance
150
OptionVotes
120
45
Will 2020s US productivity average over 1.8%, per Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon's Long Bet?
Sep 21, 8:41 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
57.63%chance
230
OptionVotes
94
86
Latest stories
Latest stories