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Esteban News

    Prediction markets for Esteban

    What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?

    Nov 1, 6:34 PMDec 7, 11:59 PM
    8928342

    OptionProbability

    A driver gets permanently replaced during the season

    A driver misses a race due to health reasons

    A team principle gets replaced during the season

    Hamilton gets a podium finish

    WDC winner wins their first title

    Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race

    Kim Kardashian shown on F1TV in Ferrari garage during main race or qualifying broadcast

    race cancelled or moved due to military operations

    Esteban Ocon replaced before season end

    We get a podium with three WDC champions

    Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC

    Verstappen finishes 2nd in the WDC

    The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams

    No pit crew injuries during any race.

    Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.

    Lewis Hamilton gets a podium

    George Russell finishes season behind Leclerc in standings

    Bottas scores more points than Perez

    Abu Dhabi and Qatar races cancelled

    WDC 1 & 2 from same team

    Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen

    A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)

    A rear-end accident because of super-clipping

    Christian Horner starts a team principle position

    Lance Stroll announces retirement

    Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom

    Hannah Schmitz departure from RBR announced

    A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points

    A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently

    Reduced points awarded at Grand Prix (25% to 75% race completed)

    We race at Imola

    Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3

    We race at Portimao

    WCC is won with 5 or more races to go

    A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season

    Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA

    Bahrain and Jeddah races take place later in the season

    Lewis Hamilton announces retirement

    Max Verstappen wins the WDC

    WDC is won with 5 or more races to go

    Aston Martin wins WCC

    Fernando Alonso wins a race (feature or sprint)

    WDC winner wins it by 10 points or less

    Williams misses the first public test on Feb 11-13

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    84

    84

    79

    65

    52

    50

    50

    35

    33

    32

    28

    26

    22

    22

    16

    15

    15

    14

    11

    10

    9

    8

    7

    6

    6

    5

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    2026 São Paulo Grand Prix: podium

    Oct 29, 3:02 AMNov 8, 8:00 PM
    91205

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    Lewis Hamilton

    George Russell

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Liam Lawson

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    76

    60

    36

    33

    32

    27

    14

    8

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    2026 São Paulo Grand Prix: race winner

    Oct 29, 3:02 AMNov 8, 8:00 PM
    9768

    OptionProbability

    Max Verstappen

    Kimi Antonelli

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    George Russell

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Another driver

    34

    33

    12

    7

    6

    4

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2026 Qatar Grand Prix: pole position

    Oct 29, 3:02 AMNov 28, 7:30 PM
    2301

    OptionProbability

    Max Verstappen

    Kimi Antonelli

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Another driver

    32

    27

    8

    8

    8

    6

    3

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix: pole position

    Oct 29, 3:02 AMNov 21, 5:30 AM
    4256

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Another driver

    29

    26

    9

    9

    8

    7

    3

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix: podium

    Oct 29, 3:02 AMNov 22, 7:00 AM
    2237

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    61

    58

    34

    34

    32

    27

    14

    8

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2026 Qatar Grand Prix: race winner

    Oct 29, 3:03 AMNov 29, 7:00 PM
    3226

    OptionProbability

    Max Verstappen

    Kimi Antonelli

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Another driver

    28

    26

    9

    9

    9

    7

    3

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?

    Jul 25, 2:26 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
    6216

    OptionProbability

    Miguel Díaz-Canel

    Other

    Álvaro López Miera

    Raúl Guillermo Rodríguez Castro

    Manuel Marrero Cruz

    Esteban Lazo Hernández

    Salvador Valdés Mesa

    Oscar Pérez-Oliva Fraga

    Roberto Morales Ojeda

    Raúl Modesto Castro Ruz

    73

    9

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix: race winner

    Oct 29, 3:02 AMNov 22, 7:00 AM
    2151

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Another driver

    27

    22

    10

    10

    9

    7

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    2026 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: race winner

    Nov 1, 2:30 PMDec 6, 4:00 PM
    486

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Other

    25

    14

    11

    11

    10

    8

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    2026 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix: pole position

    Nov 1, 2:30 PMDec 5, 3:30 PM
    456

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    Other

    25

    14

    11

    11

    10

    8

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    2026 Qatar Grand Prix: podium

    Oct 29, 3:03 AMNov 29, 7:00 PM
    247

    OptionProbability

    Kimi Antonelli

    Max Verstappen

    George Russell

    Lewis Hamilton

    Charles Leclerc

    Lando Norris

    Oscar Piastri

    Isack Hadjar

    Liam Lawson

    Pierre Gasly

    Arvid Lindblad

    Franco Colapinto

    Oliver Bearman

    Nico Hülkenberg

    Gabriel Bortoleto

    Esteban Ocon

    Fernando Alonso

    Carlos Sainz

    Alexander Albon

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Lance Stroll

    Valtteri Bottas

    Sergio Pérez

    61

    52

    34

    34

    32

    27

    14

    8

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

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