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Prediction markets for Fabien
OptionProbability
26
20
12
12
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
40
29
16
15
13
11
11
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
4
4
3
OptionVotes
1355
718
A school will integrate a full K-12 curriculum with Roblox, including language classes and virtual field
Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:01 PM
18.11%chance
11836
OptionVotes
1104
960
Will a major AI lab claim to use activation steering in its main chat assistant by EOY 2025?
Jan 25, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.15%chance
15582
OptionVotes
226
110
A Fortune 500 company will use a Roblox experience as part of their recruiting process
Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:03 PM
18.99%chance
17345
OptionVotes
1024
787
Roblox will be a frequent communication channel for my [David Baszucki] family
Sep 10, 2:56 PMSep 9, 2:55 PM
18.73%chance
5295
OptionVotes
232
46
For 17+ verified people in 17+ experiences: Thousands of adults will meet for the first time in Roblox dating experience
Sep 10, 3:01 PMSep 8, 3:00 PM
91.28%chance
5270
OptionVotes
345
27
OptionVotes
160
136
Roblox employees will spend more time using Roblox for remote meetings than with video
Sep 10, 3:00 PMSep 8, 3:00 PM
19.19%chance
8207
OptionVotes
312
64
Some Roblox creators will make more money from selling physical merchandise on Roblox than virtual merchandise
Sep 10, 2:57 PMSep 9, 2:56 PM
82.99%chance
5166
OptionVotes
244
41
Will the first AI to pass a 2-hour adversarial Turing test primarily use text?
Oct 2, 2:58 PMOct 10, 6:59 AM
65%chance
544
OptionVotes
125
98
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