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Prediction markets for Farage
Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Sep 29, 9:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6260929
OptionProbability
34
26
19
6
5
4
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
28
19
11
11
8
6
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
79.26%chance
242639
OptionVotes
1955
512
Which UK Constituencies will see By-Elections in the 2024 (59th) Parliament?
Jun 3, 11:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31962
OptionProbability
100
80
64
55
55
50
49
45
45
34
31
31
31
31
29
Will Nigel Farage complete his full term as a Reform Party MP?
Jul 5, 2:54 AMJul 12, 10:59 PM
74.09%chance
261912
OptionVotes
1691
591
Will Nigel Farage become leader of the Conservative Party by 2027?
Oct 27, 2:21 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
9.25%chance
231486
OptionVotes
1422
912
Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
121482
OptionProbability
54
14
9
9
7
5
3
OptionVotes
1497
668
Who will be the Prime Minister of the U.K. after Rishi Sunak’s successor?
Mar 18, 7:47 PMJan 1, 12:00 PM
16916
OptionProbability
25
22
21
12
10
3
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Nigel Farage be alive for the next UK general election?
Jun 1, 2:17 AMAug 16, 2:10 AM
95.05%chance
12594
OptionVotes
438
23
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
May 5, 12:29 AMJan 2, 1:28 AM
7450
OptionProbability
95
5
Will a party Nigel Farage is a member of win the next UK General Election?
Feb 9, 3:25 AMAug 15, 10:59 PM
25.84%chance
12288
OptionVotes
169
59
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