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Prediction markets for Federer
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.57%chance
295112868
OptionVotes
9441
5646
Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?
Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM
5380630
OptionProbability
34
6
0
0
0
Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?
Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM
2.79%chance
9658132
OptionVotes
26360
741
Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
8.4%chance
11746291
OptionVotes
33053
3031
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
18.26%chance
5522494
OptionVotes
20673
5320
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
Aug 18, 12:37 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
76.35%chance
9219942
OptionVotes
1800
587
[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?
Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.57%chance
5212004
OptionVotes
8319
3970
Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?
Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM
4.58%chance
2911608
OptionVotes
8758
366
Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM
51.05%chance
4410157
OptionVotes
10938
8979
Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM
38.56%chance
237773
OptionVotes
12623
7922
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
Will Nintendo take legal action against the US federal government?
Nov 5, 9:49 PMDec 31, 9:28 PM
27.98%chance
11330
OptionVotes
1092
703