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Top stories

France's Arthur Fils Pulls Out of US Open with Back Injury

France's Arthur Fils Pulls Out of US Open with Back Injury

Authors

4

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Fils

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 (less strict criteria market)

Jul 2, 8:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.12%chance

22089937

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16786

850

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.22%chance

2653835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40660

7821

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

Mar 28, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.84%chance

10829520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5240

967

Humanity survives a Great Filter

Oct 13, 6:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.6%chance

2510099

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2343

427

Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?

Apr 8, 12:37 PMJan 10, 5:59 AM

14.31%chance

287579

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5012

4305

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.48%chance

252203

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1583

632

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.73%chance

151382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

947

Will the Senate still have the ability to filibuster in the year 2032?

Apr 12, 12:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.48%chance

401367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2064

1858

Will Chick-fil-A be open on Sundays in 2026?

Oct 17, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.49%chance

7263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

32

Which fast food chain in the USA will offer a lab-grown / cultivated meat product first?

Apr 2, 6:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14201

OptionProbability

Other

Burger King

White Castle

Shake Shack

Mc Donald's

Chipotle

Trump House

Lyfe Kitchen

Sonics

Kentucky Fried Chicken KFC

Panera Bread

The Organic Coup

BurgerFi

Sweetgreen

Zaxbys

Raising Cane

Arby's

Taco Bell

Wendy's

Popeyes

Chik-fil-A

Checkers/Rallys

15

13

10

8

7

7

7

4

4

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

Will a Chick-fil-A streaming app original production be nominated for an Emmy or Oscar?

Aug 22, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.77%chance

4190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Will Chick-fil-A restore its fries recipe in 2025?

Jan 16, 6:16 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

32.23%chance

5100

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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