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Frank News

    Prediction markets for Frank

    Greatest Mathematician of all time

    Aug 11, 11:37 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
    18831312

    OptionProbability

    Gauss

    Archimedes

    Euler

    @121

    Other

    Von Neumann

    Alexander Grothendieck

    Newton

    Kurt Gödel

    David Hilbert

    Augustin-Louis Cauchy

    Pythagoras

    Euclid (of Geometry)

    Galois (died at 20 fighting for a girl he loved)

    Erdos (on amphetamines)

    Alonzo Chuch (lambda calculus)

    Matt Damon (of Good Will Hunting)

    Ramanujan

    Poincare

    Finkelstein (of the levi finkelstein conjecture)

    Mandelbrot (The B in Benoit B Mandelbrot is Benoit B Mandelbrot)

    Trick question; there are no mathematicians.

    Idk, your mom seemed pretty good at multiplying last night

    sixtynine, you filthy casuals

    David A. Cox (Cox-Zucker machine)

    The solver of the Riemann Hypothesis

    Ludwig Wittgenstein

    John Conway (group theory, among others)

    the unknown ancient egyptian who invented zero

    Descartes

    Leibniz

    Bourbaki

    Laplace

    @Mira

    Georg Cantor

    Frank Ramsey

    Fermat

    Emmy Noether

    Ada Lovelace

    .

    p

    Terry Tao

    DottedCalculator

    GPT8

    Riemann

    Claude Shannon

    God

    Alan Turing

    Grigori Perelman

    Olga Ladyzhenskaya

    Weyl, Weyl

    John Gabriel

    Michael Atiyah

    55

    25

    5

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will Trump pardon ? [Independent Megamarket]

    Mar 30, 1:52 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
    246094

    OptionProbability

    Rudy Giuliani

    Juan Orlando Hernández

    Henry Cuellar

    Alexander Smirnov

    Pete Hegseth

    Andrew Tate

    Donald Trump

    Admiral Frank "Mitch" Bradley

    Ken Paxton

    Peter Navarro

    Andy Ogles

    Steve Bannon (again)

    SBF

    Edward Snowden

    Ghislaine Maxwell

    Gannon Ken Van Dyke

    Elon Musk

    100

    100

    100

    58

    50

    47

    42

    37

    34

    34

    31

    19

    18

    17

    16

    15

    9

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1596

    627

    Who will be the next person to land on the moon?

    Feb 9, 4:47 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
    151253

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Tang Hongbo

    Zhang Lu

    Jing Haipeng

    Stephanie Wilson

    Cai Xuzhe

    Andre Douglas

    Ye Guangfu

    Kayla Barron

    Chen Dong

    Jasmin Moghbeli

    Jenni Gibbons

    Jessica Meir

    Nicole A. Mann

    Jonny Kim

    Victor Glover

    Elon Musk

    Kate Rubins

    Jessica Watkins

    Scott Tingle

    Frank Rubio

    Anne McClain

    Kjell Lindgren

    Christina H. Koch

    Warren Hoburg

    Matthew Dominick

    Raja Chari

    Joseph Acaba

    Wang Yaping

    Liu Yang

    Zhai Zhigang

    Nichole Ayers

    Jessica Wittner

    @121

    Jeffery Bezos

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Other

    15

    8

    8

    8

    6

    6

    5

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    110

    98

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    418

    24

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Iñigo Pérez

    Paul Simonis

    Mark van Bommel

    Will Still

    Edin Terzic

    Frank de Boer

    Xavi

    31

    15

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    8

    OptionProbability

    I get my car a very weird paint job which would make it unsellable

    Will go to edge Esmeralda (in any capacity, at least one event)

    Will get cavity preventing bacteria

    Japan JET Reunion 2025

    I buy a video camera that can record for 24h+ and record various public places

    Pickleball tournament

    I use computer vision to run diy studies of politeness behavior, grouped by car brand etc

    I start an AI beauty/art twitter and get 1k followers

    I document a method of self modifying an SLR by blackening all surfaces

    Publish and finish personal)group predictions tracking software

    AI phrenology - publish a doc on a study of AI image generation models differential portrayals of previously very hard to measure aspects of the human condition such as facial shape linkages to personality

    Build a personal pickleball court and attract community members to play there

    Surreptitiously construct additional pickleball courts at Foster City

    Publish an edited dashcam video of all the things I've filmed with the Tesla ssd

    Tool to view twitter as someone else. Given that follows are public this should be easy

    Create a nice Tesla models y fold over screen cover with cutouts for vital areas only. Makes night driving much easier. No need for a distracting map view if you're not turning for 200 miles

    I off road hike far into iron point outside Golconda, NV

    I set a personal daily mileage record

    Make balatro mod which shows currently selected hand score if played (ie everyone's need for this otherwise great game)

    Get gphotos to fix any of their innumerable UI bugs by complaining

    Have a sci-fi story published online somewhere

    Make neighborhood intro video with stories etc

    Will go to a natal conference again

    Local Free library and bulletin board at my place

    Overland trek to CITY in Nevada, an off-limits experimental art city which has been in progress for over 50 years

    Go to Mexico to see Trevor Bauer play

    Go see the Starship 4 launch in Texas in 2024

    Release "Reading the mind in the AI generated images"

    Get over 1k users for my browser extension

    Ship something involving image => description => more images to users

    I go to West Africa and go to concerts, visit Nollywood etc

    I write a science fiction novel about aliens who experiment with forced evolution

    Browser extension to add metadata on all people's names, relating to their offspring number, success, etc

    66

    66

    66

    66

    52

    52

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    50

    48

    48

    48

    Will Frank Abagnale be charged with a fraud (or similar) by 2030?

    Jan 24, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    34.25%chance
    322

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    130

    96

    Will Frank Ilett cut his hair by 2026?

    Sep 22, 7:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    59.02%chance
    220

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    120

    83

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