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Grisham News

    Prediction markets for Grisham

    Who will be elected president in 2028?

    Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
    19071569275

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jon Ossoff

    Donald Trump

    Pete Buttigieg

    No 2028 Election

    Kamala Harris

    Josh Shapiro

    Andy Beshear

    JB Pritzker

    Ted Cruz

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Ruben Gallego

    Rahm Emmanuel

    Andrew Yang

    Ron DeSantis

    Joe Rogan

    Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

    Amy Klobuchar

    Kanye West

    Hunter Biden

    Mike Pence

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Mark Kelly

    Bernie Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elizabeth Warren

    Cory Booker

    Roy Cooper

    Tim Scott

    Mitch Landrieu

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Katie Porter

    Joe Biden

    Tucker Carlson

    Wes Moore

    Ration L. Ussy

    Mark Cuban

    Tim Walz

    RFK Jr.

    Tetraspace

    Lina Khan

    Shawn Fain

    Donald Trump Jr

    Elon Musk

    Ritchie Torres

    Taylor Swift

    Barack Obama

    Chris Murphy

    Stephen A. Smith

    Mickey Mouse

    Ivanka Trump

    Barron Trump

    Laura Loomer

    Abigail Spanberger

    Sam Altman

    John Fetterman

    Ro Khanna

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Al Gore

    Kathy Hochul

    [deleted]

    Josh Hawley

    Ezra Klein

    Tim Kaine

    invalid

    Brian Kemp

    David McCormick

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Amaryllis Fox

    AI Overlord

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Mike Johnson

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Jamie Dimon

    Abrego Garcia

    Andrew Cuomo

    Chris Van Hollen

    Invalid

    invalid

    Deval Patrick

    Jasmine Crockett

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Obama

    Sheldon Whitehouse

    Robert Prevost

    Harambe

    Josh Stein

    Jeff Jackson

    Rand Paul

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elissa Slotkin

    22

    17

    12

    7

    6

    5

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be President of the United States on January 21, 2037?

    Apr 2, 3:33 PMJan 23, 5:59 AM
    6314552

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jamie Dimon

    J. D. Vance

    Kamala Harris

    Ted Cruz

    Gavin Newsom

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Cory Booker

    Ron DeSantis

    Nikki Haley

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Pete Buttigieg

    Tim Scott

    J. B. Pritzker

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    Elise Stefanik

    Josh Shapiro

    Mike Pence

    Kristi Noem

    Andy Beshear

    Spencer Cox

    Glenn Youngkin

    Marco Rubio

    Jackson Hinkle

    Dean Phillips

    Donald Trump

    Elon Musk

    Aella

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Xi Jinping

    Tammy Duckworth

    Ivanka Trump

    Mike Johnson

    Tucker Carlson

    Mark Zuckerberg

    An AGI

    Jared Kushner

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Curtis Yarvin

    Mike Dunleavy

    Katie Hobbs

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Jared Polis

    Brian Kemp

    Scott Perry

    Joe Biden

    Josh Green

    Eric Holcomb

    Kim Reynolds

    Jeff Landry

    Wes Moore

    Maura Healey

    Tim Walz

    Tate Reeves

    Mike Parson

    Greg Gianforte

    Christopher Sununu

    Jim Pillen

    Joe Lombardo

    Phil Murphy

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Kathy Hochul

    Roy Cooper

    Doug Burgum

    Kevin Stitt

    Tina Kotek

    Bill Lee

    Greg Abbott

    Phil Scott

    Mark Gordon

    Ro Khanna

    Tammy Baldwin

    Taylor Swift

    Josh Hawley

    Raphael Warnock

    Luigi Mangione

    Chuck Norris

    Robert Francis Prevost

    57

    5

    4

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?

    Apr 9, 4:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    432799

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Kamala Harris

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Ivanka Trump

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Kristi Noem

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Deb Haaland

    Krystal Ball

    Carly Fiorina

    Michelle Obama

    Katie Porter

    Elizabeth Warren

    Tammy Baldwin

    Tammy Duckworth

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Ayanna Pressley

    Joni Ernst

    Tina Kotek

    Katie Hobbs

    Barbara Lee

    Young Kim

    Lucy McBath

    Cori Bush

    Hillary Clinton

    Meghan Markle, Duchess of Sussex

    69

    7

    6

    6

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which people on the Kash Patel list of "Members of the Executive Branch Deep State" from his book will be investigated?

    Dec 14, 5:15 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
    132736

    OptionProbability

    John Bolton – Former National Security Advisor under President Trump

    John Brennan – Former Director of the CIA under President Obama, currently a Senior National Security and Intelligence Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    James Comey – Former FBI Director

    James Clapper – Former Director of National Intelligence under President Obama, currently a National Security Analyst at CNN

    John Carlin – Acting Deputy Attorney General, former head of National Security Division at DoJ during the Russia Gate investigation by FBI

    Hillary Clinton – Former Democrat Party Nominee for President and Former Secretary of State under President Obama

    Merrick Garland – Attorney General under President Biden

    Kamala Harris – Vice President of the United States

    Loretta Lynch – Former Attorney General under President Obama

    Susan Rice – Former National Security Advisor under President Obama, currently Director of the Domestic Policy Council under President Biden

    Alexander Vindman – Former Director for European Affairs on the NSC under President Trump

    Andrew McCabe – Former Deputy Director of the FBI under President Trump

    Fiona Hill – Former NSC staffer who worked with Vindman and Ciaramella

    John Podesta – Former Counselor to President Obama

    Lisa Page – Former Legal Counsel for Deputy Director of the FBI Andrew McCabe and currently a National Security and Legal Analyst at NBC and MSNBC

    Eric Holder – Former Attorney General under President Obama and current Senior Counsel at Covington law firm

    Stephen Boyd – Former head of Legislative Affairs at DoJ under Deputy Attorney General Rosenstein

    Sally Yates – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Obama and briefly the Acting Attorney General under President Trump

    Evelyn Farkas – Former DoD official under President Obama

    Robert Mueller – Former Director of the FBI and Special Counsel

    Lloyd Austin – Secretary of Defense under President Biden

    Mark Milley – Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Jake Sullivan – National Security Advisor under President Biden

    Christopher Wray – Director of the FBI under President Trump and President Biden, former partner at King & Spalding

    James Baker – Former General Counsel for the FBI, currently a member of the Brookings Institute, former Deputy General Counsel at Twitter

    Eric Ciaramella – Former NSC staffer within the Obama and Trump administrations

    Mark Esper – Former Secretary of Defense under President Trump

    Lisa Monaco – Deputy Attorney General of the United States

    Pat Philbin – Former Deputy White House Counsel under President Trump

    Peter Strzok – Former Deputy Assistant Director of the FBI's Counterintelligence Division

    Michael Sussmann – Former legal representative for the Democratic National Committee and former partner at Perkins Coie law firm

    Robert Hur – Special Counsel to investigate Biden and former PADAG under Rosenstein

    Andrew Weissman – Former Deputy under Special Counsel Mueller

    Michael Atkinson – Former Intelligence Community Inspector General

    Pat Cipollone – Former White House Counsel under President Trump

    Timothy Thibault – Former Assistant Special Agent at the FBI's Washington Field Office

    Joe Biden – President of the United States

    Cassidy Hutchinson – Aide to Mark Meadows

    Brian Auten – Supervisory Intelligence Analyst within the FBI

    Elizabeth Dibble – Former Deputy Chief of Mission at the US Embassy in London

    Sarah Isgur Flores – Former Head of Communications at DoJ for AG Sessions

    Stephanie Grisham – Former Press Secretary for President Trump and Chief of Staff for Melania Trump

    Gina Haspel – Former Director of the CIA under President Trump and current advisor at King & Spalding law firm

    Curtis Heide – FBI Agent

    Nina Jankowicz – Former Executive Director of the Disinformation Governance Board in the Biden administration

    Lois Lerner – Former Director of the IRS under President Obama

    Charles Kupperman – Former Deputy National Security Advisor under President Trump

    Kenneth Mackenzie – Retired US Marine Corps General and former Commander of the United States Central Command

    Ryan McCarthy – Former Secretary of the Army under President Trump

    Mary McCord – Former Acting Assistant Attorney General for National Security at the DoJ and currently the Executive Director for the Georgetown Law Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection

    Denis McDonough – Former Chief of Staff for President Obama and currently Secretary of Veterans Affairs

    Sally Moyer – Former Supervisory Attorney at the FBI and currently Legal Counsel at Cloudflare

    Bruce Ohr – Former Associate Deputy Attorney General

    Samantha Power – Former Ambassador to the United Nations under President Obama, currently Administrator of the United States Agency for International Development

    Bill Priestap – Former Assistant Director for the FBI Counterintelligence Division

    Rod Rosenstein – Former Deputy Attorney General under President Trump and current partner at King & Spalding law firm

    Miles Taylor – Former DHS official under President Trump, aka "Anonymous"

    Alyssa Farah – Former Director of Strategic Communications under President Trump

    Nellie Ohr – Former CIA Employee and Independent Contractor for Fusion GPS

    Bill Barr – Former Attorney General under President Trump

    100

    100

    100

    79

    76

    68

    68

    68

    66

    66

    66

    57

    56

    56

    51

    49

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    47

    46

    42

    41

    41

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    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    40

    37

    37

    36

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    31

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    31

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    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    27

    27

    24

    Will OpenAI lose a class-action copyright-related lawsuit before 2028?

    Sep 21, 9:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    68.9%chance
    9233

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    208

    114

    Will the state of New Mexico launch its medical psilocybin program before April 20, 2027?

    Jan 1, 4:53 PMApr 21, 11:59 PM
    45.66%chance
    233

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    109

    92

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