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Prediction markets for Grok
OptionProbability
44
15
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026?
Nov 25, 7:34 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
4.83%chance
2210401
OptionVotes
4439
225
Will Grok Imagine’s full-length Odyssey film be released this year? [Kalshi]
Jul 22, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20%chance
399507
OptionVotes
2000
500
OptionVotes
4984
201
OptionProbability
100
100
25
21
9
9
0
OptionVotes
3399
297
OptionProbability
17
15
14
11
10
10
8
6
4
3
2
Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?
Jan 30, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.67%chance
15955
OptionVotes
742
484
OptionVotes
537
19
OptionVotes
178
56
OptionVotes
155
64
Will Grok create automated 2-page biographies of any Twitter user by EOY2026?
Jan 30, 5:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
59.02%chance
120
OptionVotes
120
83
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