Grok News

6 months ago

Grok 5 released before March 31?

Oct 16, 10:35 AMApr 1, 6:59 AM

10.62%chance

227875

OptionVotes

YES

2902

345

Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026?

Nov 25, 7:34 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.58%chance

156784

OptionVotes

YES

2907

344

Will Elon Musk opensource Grok 3 within 6 months? (By Feb 23 2026)

Aug 23, 11:55 PMFeb 23, 11:59 PM

6.81%chance

256390

OptionVotes

YES

3700

270

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Oct 10, 2:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.51%chance

365026

OptionVotes

YES

3100

326

Grok 4.20 METR 50% time horizon

Dec 13, 6:22 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

113043

OptionProbability

3h - 3.5h

3.5h - 4h

2.5h - 3h

4h - 4.5h

2h - 2.5h

4.5h - 5h

5h - 5.5h

Other

<1.5h

1.5h - 2h

5.5h - 6h

Grok adds terminate conversation button by 3/1/26?

Aug 17, 1:02 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

24.21%chance

482934

OptionVotes

YES

1770

566

Grok uses Telegram channels as one of content sources by mid-2026?

May 31, 10:10 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

49.88%chance

81152

OptionVotes

YES

1007

1003

Will Grok 4.2 be profitable on Prediction Arena end of February 2026?

Jan 27, 5:11 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

56.75%chance

10626

OptionVotes

YES

1146

873

When will Grok 3 weights become publicly available?

Aug 23, 11:17 PMJul 1, 11:07 PM

8298

OptionProbability

2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31

2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30

After 2026-07-01

2025-08-23 to 2025-12-31

Will we ever get Grok 4.1 Fast support in Cursor?

Nov 26, 2:28 PMApr 24, 3:59 AM

18.77%chance

3248

OptionVotes

YES

208

Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?

Oct 1, 5:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.36%chance

6192

OptionVotes

YES

154

Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?

Jan 30, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.32%chance

691

OptionVotes

YES

611

589

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Grok 5 released before March 31?

Will Grok 5 beat the best human team at League of Legends in 2026?

Will Elon Musk opensource Grok 3 within 6 months? (By Feb 23 2026)

Will Grok make a "really good movie" in 2027?

Grok 4.20 METR 50% time horizon

Grok adds terminate conversation button by 3/1/26?

Grok uses Telegram channels as one of content sources by mid-2026?

Will Grok 4.2 be profitable on Prediction Arena end of February 2026?

When will Grok 3 weights become publicly available?

Will we ever get Grok 4.1 Fast support in Cursor?

Will Elon Musk apologize for Grok being too left wing or 'woke' in the second half of 2026?

Will Elon Musk tweet that a Grok Sucessor has achieved 'AGI-level performance' or 'AGI has been reached' in 2026?

Latest stories

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