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Horner News

    Prediction markets for Horner

    What will be true for the 2026 F1 season?

    Nov 1, 6:34 PMDec 7, 11:59 PM
    6113739

    OptionProbability

    A team principle gets replaced during the season

    Hamilton gets a podium finish

    race cancelled or moved due to military operations

    WDC winner wins their first title

    Ferrari finishes 2nd in the WCC

    Kim Kardashian shown on F1TV in Ferrari garage during main race or qualifying broadcast

    A technical directive changes regulations to stop a dominant team or forces to change something important in the cars (e.g., flexible wings in 2025, Ferrari in 2022 with TD39)

    A driver gets permanently replaced during the season

    A driver misses a race due to health reasons

    Hadjar scores at least half as many points as Verstappen

    Lewis Hamilton wins a feature race

    WDC 1 & 2 from same team

    No pit crew injuries during any race.

    Lewis Hamilton gets a podium

    Christian Horner starts a team principle position

    A RB or RBR driver is swapped out permanently

    A rear-end accident because of super-clipping

    Bottas scores more points than Perez

    A driver at Red Bull Racing gets replaced during the season

    WCC is won with 5 or more races to go

    A driver gets a race ban due to penalty points

    Eight GP without a full safety car deployment.

    Lance Stroll announces retirement

    Bahrain and Jeddah races take place later in the season

    Lewis Hamilton announces retirement

    Neither Cadillac nor Audi finish WCC at the bottom

    WDC is won with 5 or more races to go

    Lando Norris finishes WDC in the top 3

    Mohammed Ben Sulayem steps down as head of FIA

    The top three drivers in the WDC will be from three different teams

    Max Verstappen wins the WDC

    Fernando Alonso wins a race

    Aston Martin wins WCC

    Williams misses the first public test on Feb 11-13

    100

    100

    100

    89

    83

    82

    71

    67

    65

    65

    62

    56

    55

    50

    48

    45

    45

    41

    39

    37

    31

    29

    29

    25

    24

    23

    22

    20

    18

    10

    9

    7

    2

    0

    Red Bull Racing Chaos Mega Market

    Jul 9, 9:03 PMJan 1, 9:53 PM
    82096

    OptionProbability

    Helmut Marko leaves RBR before 2027

    Max Verstappen drives at least one race for RBR in 2026

    Laurent Mekies still RBR TP by July 9th 2026

    RBR wins another WDC or WCC before 2036

    Hannah Schmitz leaves RBR before 2027 season

    Jonathan Wheatley returns to RBR by 2027

    Christian Horner returns to RBR before 2032

    Christian Horner TP at another F1 team by start of 2026 season

    100

    97

    88

    60

    55

    53

    22

    8

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