JB Pritzker News

J.D. Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump

Jon Ossoff

Donald Trump Jr

Amy Klobuchar

Gretchen Whitmer

Nikki Haley

No 2028 Election

Cory Booker

Tucker Carlson

Mark Cuban

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

JB Pritzker

Tulsi Gabbard

Rahm Emmanuel

AI Overlord

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Rogan

Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

Ted Cruz

Kanye West

Hunter Biden

Mike Pence

Raphael Warnock

Jared Polis

Mark Kelly

Bernie Sanders

Greg Abbott

Stacey Abrams

Glenn Youngkin

Elizabeth Warren

Roy Cooper

Tim Scott

Mitch Landrieu

Michelle Lujan Grisham

Ruben Gallego

Katie Porter

Joe Biden

Ration L. Ussy

Wes Moore

RFK Jr.

Tetraspace

Lina Khan

Shawn Fain

Elon Musk

Ritchie Torres

Taylor Swift

Barack Obama

Chris Murphy

Stephen A. Smith

Mickey Mouse

Ivanka Trump

Barron Trump

Laura Loomer

Abigail Spanberger

Sam Altman

John Fetterman

Ro Khanna

Al Gore

Kathy Hochul

[deleted]

Josh Hawley

Ezra Klein

Tim Kaine

invalid

Brian Kemp

David McCormick

Andrew Yang

Anna Paulina Luna

Amaryllis Fox

Duplicate - Will Resolve No

Duplicate - Will Resolve No

Mike Johnson

Steven Bonell (Destiny)

Jamie Dimon

Abrego Garcia

Andrew Cuomo

Chris Van Hollen

Invalid

invalid

Deval Patrick

Jasmine Crockett

Oprah Winfrey

Michelle Obama

Sheldon Whitehouse

Robert Prevost

Harambe

Josh Stein

Jeff Jackson

Rand Paul

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Ron DeSantis

Gretchen Whitmer

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Andy Beshear

Marco Rubio

No 2028 Election

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Vivek Ramaswamy

Donald Trump Jr.

Ivanka Trump

Tulsi Gabbard

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

Raphael Warnock

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Elon Musk

Tucker Carlson

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Mark Kelly

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Mike Gallagher

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Donald Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

JB Pritzker

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

None

Ron DeSantis

Andy Beshear

Nikki Haley

Michelle Obama

Tulsi Gabbard

Jamie Dimon

Tucker Carlson

Donald Trump Jr.

Tim Walz

John Fetterman

Mark Cuban

Ruben Gallego

Vivek Ramaswamy

Joe Biden

Tim Scott

Katie Hobbs

Greg Abbott

Elizabeth Warren

Mike Johnson

Ted Cruz

Mike Pence

Jared Polis

Ivanka Trump

Elon Musk

Sam Altman

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Elise Stefanik

Kristi Noem

Nicole Shanahan

Scott Alexander

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Aella

George Clooney

Tom Hanks

Steven Pinker

Patrick Stewart

George R R Martin

Noah Smith

Matt Yglesias

Kanye West

Doug Burgum

Jeff Jackson

Mark Kelly

Glenn Youngkin

Barack Obama

Oprah Winfrey

Hillary Clinton

Joe Rogan

Neuralink trials have happened with volunteer humans

New Pope after Francis

three or more events from the CoolFold 100 Challenge resolved

five or more events from the CoolFold 100 Challenge resolved

Bitcoin has reached $100K at some point

Gold has reached $2500/oz at some point

ETH Ethereum has reached $2800 USD (again)

Ethereum ETH has reached $4000 again

xkcd is still producing new comics at least once a month

Coyote vs Acme releases or leaks

publicly available ChatGPT or similar LLM can solve sudokus reliably

No humans on the moon since Apollo

USA's Supreme Court is still 9 justices (does not get expanded)

Elon is still at least a partial owner of Twitter

True Detective Season 5 released

Destiny is still regularly livestreaming

Super Smash Bros Melee still a popular esport

Xi still leader of China

Putin still leader of Russia

2h marathon has been officially broken by a human

Charles still King of UK

Zuckerberg still CEO of facebook/meta

Palworld is still able to be played through Steam

S&box fully released (Facepunch's new garry's mod like game)

Hiroyuki Nishimura is still the owner of 4chan

Iceland, Norway, or Japan has banned whaling

Mr Beast has 500M or more subscribers on Youtube

Fortnite Crossover with the Simpsons

The tenth drop of the pitch drop experiment has fallen

Flo is still the progressive mascot (the actress still working )

Slavoj Zizek still giving public talks

At least one of the other prediction market websites has gone out of business

Team Fortress 2 is still receiving periodic blog posts / small updates

One Piece manga is still going (original series)

Winner of 2028 election is Democrat

Family Guy has ended

the game Rust is still receiving regular updates with new content (not just bug / small fixes)

Avatar still has the record for highest worldwide movie gross on BoxOfficeMojo

Old School Runescape has released Sailing and at least 1 other new skill

Weak AGI achieved, as indicated by the YES resolution of the Metaculus market on the topic

@strutheo is still on Manifold, with the same username

Apex Legends is still receiving updates and servers are online

A new official weapon has been added to Team Fortress 2 since after 2017

The Nintendo Switch successor console has sold at least 65 million units

Bitcoin has reached $150K at least one time

Taylor Swift has been married

Total mana bet on Manifold has peaked to 10B in one day at least once

Manifold has sold $40K or more mana in the last 30 days before market close

Petco will have filed for bankruptcy

a twitter account has reached 500M followers

the Rmax of the top non distributed supercomputer is at least 3000 PFlop/Sec (according to top500.org)

Kingdom Hearts 4 has released

Jared Fogel OR Fetty Wap is out of prison

prong.studio still operational and selling products

Chameleon Twist 3 has released (or another sequel)

Kojima's Physint game has released

there will be a USA federal holiday in August (confirmed happening in 2028 or next year in 2029)

Magic the Gathering card has sold for $1M or more (other than the One Ring!)

Manifold MAU has spiked to 40k+ at least two separate weeks/occasions

A North American team has won a Dota 2 International for the first time since 2015

Build a Bear will have filed for bankruptcy or been bought

At least one of Paul Biya, Pope Francis, Ali Khamenei is still in power

A second feature length South Park movie has released (like South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut)

at least one spider man movie releases each year

Star Citizen has fully released to the public (not just a beta)

jd vance has been president or wins the election to be one

Annoying Orange youtube channel is still uploading at least one video a month

X (Twitter) brand has changed again (either back to Twitter or something other than X)

Palestine / Israel will have come to an agreement on borders (post Oct 7)

Russia AND ROC are both forbidden from entering the Olympics still

Nintendo ends online play and other online services for Switch (as they did for WiiU and 3DS on April 8th 2024)

Rabbit is still selling R1 (or a sequel product) and it can be purchased by the average consumer

Amazon #1 book is by a politician or musician

The New England Patriots have either won a Super Bowl (2024-2027 seasons) or clinched the division (2028)

Chat GPT 7 or higher available for public use

Nintendo still manufacturing Switch

Amazon #1 book is a self-help book

a tenth country is confirmed to have nuclear weapons

1200 or more official pokemon

Turkey has a higher GDP (PPP) than the United Kingdom

doomsday clock is 100 seconds or more from midnight

Taylor Swift has been divorced

There will be a breakthrough in nuclear weaponry

Ukraine-Russia war still ongoing

All 9 current Supreme Court justices from today (Jan 2024) are still serving

Manifold has collapsed / bankrupt at least once already

Dwarf Fortress ceases active development

China - Taiwan war / invasion begins

NFL has an official expansion team in Europe somewhere

Mana can be donated to charity through Manifold at the same rate (1 cent = 1 mana)

George RR Martin has released the next GoT / ASOIAF book (The Winds of Winter)

China has landed a human on the moon

Trump has served at least 1 full day in jail/prison (not at home)

someone has reached 2900 FIDE chess rating

a paper for LK99 or another room temperature superconductor is peer reviewed and replicated

The record for youngest Best Actor Academy Award Broken (Adrien Brody, The Pianist, age 29)

Chat GPT 8.5 or higher released for public use

Josh Shapiro is the President-elect of the United States

Jared Polis is the President-elect of the United States

JB Pritzker is the President-elect of the United States

Hytale has fully released to the public (not just a beta)

Gretchen Whitmer is the President-elect of the United States

No humans exist

Manifold Love is still getting updates or community support/events

Gavin Newsom

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

JB Pritzker

Andy Beshear

Gretchen Whitmer

Rahm Emanuel

Jared Polis

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Tim Walz

Jon Ossoff

Cory Booker

Stephen A. Smith

Kamala Harris

Jason Crow

Mark Cuban

Amy Klobuchar

Roy Cooper

Mark Milley

Andrew Cuomo

Wes Moore

John Fetterman

Hunter Biden

Ezra Klein

Bernie Sanders

Gavin Newsom

Other

AOC

Pete Butigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Andy Beshear

Gretchen Whitmer

Cory Booker

Jb Pritzker

Darkhorse Celeb (Ex Lebron, Taylor Swift, Oprah)

Tim Walz

Ruben Gallego

Michelle Obama

Joe Manchin

Mark Cuban

Amy Klobuchar

Marianne Willamson

Andrew Yang

Bernie Sanders

Michael Bloomberg

Elizabeth Warren

Mark Cuban

Jon Stewart

Other

Liz Cheney

Hillary Clinton

Joe Biden

Noam Chomsky

Gavin Newsom

JD Vance

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Andy Beshear

Gretchen Whitmer

Marco Rubio

Wes Moore

JB Pritzker

Brian Kemp

Cory Booker

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Glenn Youngkin

Tulsi Gabbard

Ron DeSantis

Greg Abbott

Chris Van Hollen

Nikki Haley

Tim Walz

Vivek Ramaswamy

Kamala Harris

Bernie Sanders

Tucker Carlson

Stephen A. Smith

Ted Cruz

Zohran Mamdani

Mark Milley

Mark Cuban

Steve Bannon

Kristi Noem

Hunter Biden

Mike Johnson

Al Gore

NO

Other

JD Vance

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Cory Booker

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Gavin Newsom

Marco Rubio

Gretchen Whitmer

Ron de Santis

Raphael Warnock

JB Pritzker

Hakeem Jeffries

Jared Polis

Tim Walz

Kamala Harris

Amy Klobuchar

Nikki Haley

Donald Trump Jr

Elon Musk

Donald Trump

Elizabeth Warren

Rand Paul

Kristi Noem

Nobody, AGI kills everyone

Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson

Mike Pompeo

Liz Cheney

Beto O'Rourke

Tom Cotton

Ben Sasse

Kanye West

Pete Davidson

Joe Rogan

Ivanka Trump

Bernie Sanders

Ted Cruz

Kari Lake

Tammy Duckworth

Destiny

Stacey Abrams

Peter Thiel

Mitt Romney

Joe Biden

Julian Castro

Gavin Newsom

Josh Shapiro

Pete Buttigieg

Tim Walz

Gretchen Whitmer

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Andy Beshear

Raphael Warnock

Amy Klobuchar

Jon Ossoff

Roy Cooper

Kamala Harris

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Gretchen Whitmer

JB Pritzker

Jamie Dimon

Ro Khanna

Mark Cuban

Kamala Harris

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Raphael Warnock

Cory Booker

Hakeem Jeffries

Other

Gavin Newsom

No one

Josh Shapiro

Tim Walz

Pete Buttigieg

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

JB Pritzker

Wes Moore

Raphael Warnock