OptionProbability
Fed Will CUT Rates By 25BPs
Fed Will HOLD Rates
Fed Will CUT Rates By 50BPs
Fed Will HIKE Rates
94
5
1
0
Other
Danny Sheehan
Krantz Hanzinpantz
Daniel Hillis
Jesus of Nazareth
Jesse Michels
Danny Jones
Curt Jaimungal
Gary Stevenson
Steven Greer
Harald Malmgren
Eliezer Yudkowsky
Balaji Srinivasan
Robert Kennedy Jr
Sir Isaac Newton
Jack Kruse
Eric Weinstein
Chris Bledsoe
Robert Epstein
Jake Barber
Robin Hanson
Suchir Balaji
Shawn Ryan
Jeffrey Mishlove
Daryl Davis
Marshall McLuhan
Brian Tomasik
John Mcafee
Julian Assange
Micheal Levin
Hal Putoff
Avi Loeb
Mike Benz
Ben Goertzle
Gary Nolan
Jeffrey Sachs
Matthew Pines
Scott Galloway
Catherine Fitts
Georgi Dimitrov
Jerome Powell
Samo Burja
David Friedberg
Mike Gravel
Tom Cambell
Robert Monroe
Bryan Johnson
11
10
4
3
2
Huey Li (and the news)
SerpentZA
Laowhy86
Nicholas Kristof
Michael Pettis
Peter Hessler
James Fallows
Kevin D Walmsley of Inside China Business
Liziqi
Nathan Rich
Living in China
Jerry Kowal
Significant effort (10k+ posts) to manipulate comment threads on hacker news.
Asia Society Policy Institute
Yale Center Beijing
Brookings Institution (China Center)
Blondie in China
Elon Musk
Bill Bishop, Sinocism
52
50
41
40