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Top stories

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Fed’s Waller Backs September 25-Point Cut, Signals More Easing Ahead

Authors

36

8 months ago

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Markets Put 87% Odds on Fed September Rate Cut

Authors

6

8 months ago

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

US Gov Appointments

Fed’s Lisa Cook Sues Trump, Challenging Attempted Firing and Fed Independence

Authors

115

8 months ago

US Domestic Policy

White House Vows to Keep Up Fight With Fed Governor Lisa Cook

Authors

5

8 months ago

Asian Stocks Rise on Fed Chair Powell’s Signal of Possible September Rate Cut; Japan, Korea, Australia Gain Amid 84% Easing Odds

Authors

8

8 months ago

US Gov Appointments

Bessent Says 11 Candidates Short-Listed to Replace Fed Chair Powell

Authors

11

8 months ago

Bitcoin Slides to $108,000 Amid $550 Million Liquidations

Authors

12

8 months ago

Trump Says Fed Chair Powell Will “Get Out Quickly”

Authors

5

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Jerome Powell

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

181110755

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Zohran Mamdani

Pete Hegseth

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Xi Jinping

Marco Rubio

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

Gavin Newsom

Dario Amodei

Claudia Sheinbaum

Elon Musk

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

James Talarico

Jon Ossoff

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Bad Bunny

Kevin Warsh

53

14

6

6

4

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?

Nov 7, 9:00 PMMay 16, 6:59 AM

1.77%chance

6321837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7454

134

Jerome Powell convicted on charges from the DOJ?

Jan 12, 2:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.25%chance

185462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4746

211

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

3.26%chance

493401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

545

18

Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

Aug 19, 10:00 PMJun 1, 3:59 AM

1%chance

262252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

10

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

31%chance

161725

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1492

671

Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?

Apr 10, 3:10 PMApr 1, 2:59 AM

1%chance

231697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

17

WIll Jerome Powell Be found guilty if indicted?

Jan 12, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.8%chance

13460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

273

37

Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?

Apr 21, 12:20 AMDec 31, 1:18 AM

9.97%chance

10312

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1201

933

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.82%chance

10155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

61

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.14%chance

9125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

178

80

Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?

Jan 23, 1:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.08%chance

982

OptionVotes

NO

YES

132

94

Latest stories

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Aug 27, 2025
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8 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
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Aug 25, 2025
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8 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
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Japan
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9 months ago
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Real Estate
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New York Office Market Hits $11 Billion CMBS Borrowing in 2025 with $3B Refinancing, Vornado Purchase Amid Return-to-Office Momentum
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6
9 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
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Dollar Struggles After Powell's Dovish Remarks as USD/CAD Consolidates and EUR/USD Hits New Lows
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3
9 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
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India
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Powell Lift Unlikely to Shield Rupee From Tariff Pressure Near Record Low
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11
9 months ago
Aug 25, 2025
Aug 25, 2025
Economics
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Gold Holds Above $3,350 as Powell Spurs Bets on September Fed Cut
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3
9 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Stocks
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0DTE Option Volume Hits Record After Powell Spurs Rush Into Calls
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6
9 months ago
Aug 24, 2025
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Powell Plans Overhaul of Fed’s 2020 Inflation Playbook, WSJ Reports
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9
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Aug 23, 2025
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Stocks
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17
9 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Economics
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Trump Says Powell’s Prospective Rate Cuts Come ‘Too Late’
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16
9 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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US Gov Appointments
Economics
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Powell’s Dovish Jackson Hole Speech Fuels Rate-Cut Bets and Succession Talk
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4
9 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Economics
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Powell Remarks Ignite 4% Rally in Russell 2000 Small Caps
Authors
14
9 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Tesla Jumps 4% After Powell Signals Possible Fed Rate Cuts
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4
9 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Stocks
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Nasdaq-100 $QQQ Hits Six-Day Losing Streak, Small-Cap Russell 2000 $IWM Surges Nearly 4% to YTD High After Powell Comments
Authors
8
9 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
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Tariffs
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Powell Sees Tariff-Driven Price Rise as Short-Lived, Flags Uncertainty
Authors
19
9 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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Law
Politics
Business
DOJ Official Presses Powell to Oust Fed Governor Cook Amid Mortgage Probe
Authors
10
9 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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9 months ago
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9 months ago
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9 months ago
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Economics
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18
9 months ago
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Economics
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6
9 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
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Markets
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28
9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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Mexico
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Business
Mexican Peso Closes at 18.75, Third-Best Performer Amid Positive Data and Jackson Hole Powell Speech Anticipation
Authors
8
9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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Company Earnings
Stocks
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S&P 500 Slips Under 6,400 as Palantir Tumbles Post-Earnings
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12
9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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Economics
Politics
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Jefferies’ Zervos Calls Fed Policy Overly Tight, Questions Powell’s Independence
Authors
9
9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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Spain
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Business
Ibex 35 Hits 15,300 Points, Highest Since 2007, Led by Arcelormittal, Acerinox Gains Ahead of Jackson Hole
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4
9 months ago
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9 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
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Japan
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9 months ago
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