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Jimmy Kimmel News

    Prediction markets for Jimmy Kimmel

    Who will be on the 2025 Time Person of the Year shortlist?

    Jun 25, 7:44 PMDec 20, 11:59 PM
    200120659

    OptionProbability

    Pope Leo XIV

    Donald Trump

    Zohran Mamdani

    Jensen Huang

    Artificial Intelligence (AI)

    Benjamin Netanyahu

    Ahmed Al-Sharaa

    Elon Musk

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Charlie Kirk

    Sam Altman

    Jerome Powell

    Taylor Swift

    Nicolas Maduro

    Mark Carney

    Xi Jinping

    Nayib Bukele

    Sanae Takaichi

    Lee Jae Myung

    Sundar Pichai

    Gisèle Pelicot

    Vladimir Putin

    Demis Hassabis

    Narendra Modi

    Marco Rubio

    Kilmar Abrego Garcia

    J.D. Vance

    Keir Starmer

    Marjorie Taylor Greene

    Sushila Karki

    Mohammed bin Salman

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Peter Thiel

    Brendan Foody

    Surya Midha

    Satya Nadella

    Dario Amodei

    Nick Fuentes

    Larry Page

    Antonio Guterres

    Pam Bondi

    Kim Jong Un

    Steve Witkoff

    Ms. Rachel

    Scott Bessent

    Bad Bunny

    Imran Khan

    Jane Goodall

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Gavin Newsom

    Stephen Miller

    Pete Hegseth

    Tim Cook

    Jeff Bezos

    Emmanuel Macron

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr

    Jimmy Donaldson

    Adarsh Hiremath

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Mike Johnson

    Jeffrey Epstein

    Kash Patel

    Sydney Sweeney

    Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Dana White

    Howard Lutnick

    Maverick Trevillian

    Kamala Harris

    Stephen Colbert

    Lei Jun (CEO Xiaomi)

    Nasry Asfura

    Mahmoud Khalil

    Larry Ellison

    Greta Thunberg

    Kendrick Lamar

    Javier Milei

    Tucker Carlson

    David Ellison

    Bubba

    94

    80

    70

    64

    56

    43

    33

    32

    25

    22

    17

    16

    15

    14

    12

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    1

    OptionProbability

    Mainstream Media

    Letitia James

    January 6th Committee

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    LQBTQ / Trans People

    Migrants

    The Bidens (Joe, Ashley, Jill, and/or Hunter Biden)

    Elon Musk

    Anthony Fauci

    Gen. Mark Milley

    Universities

    Paper straws

    Blinken

    Maine

    Due Process

    Alejandro Mayorkas

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Jack Smith

    The New York Times (NYT)

    Solar Energy

    Miles Taylor

    Stephen Colbert

    John Bolton

    James Comey

    John Brennan

    Zohran Mamdani

    National Institutes of Health

    Leakers

    Panama

    JB Pritzker

    Wind Energy

    Any professional sports league

    Alexander Vindman

    The Atlantic

    Wikipedia

    Bruce Springsteen

    Denmark

    Ann Selzer

    John Kelly

    Michael Cohen

    Seth Myers

    Nancy Pelosi

    Bill Barr

    Vaccine mandates

    the National Archives

    Any non-Tesla electric car manufacturer

    Susan Collins (R-ME)

    Lisa Murkowski (R-AK)

    Mariann Edgar Budde

    Progressive YouTube Influencers

    Ken Klippenstein

    The American Medical Association

    Christopher Steele

    Jezebel (website)

    The Metropolitan Museum of Art

    TIME magazine

    Public Libraries

    Jeff Bezos

    Emmanuel Macron

    Narendra Modi

    Any Manifold User

    Taylor Swift

    E. Jean Carroll

    Fluoride

    Tucker Carlson

    Disney

    Joe Biden

    Beyoncé

    The American Psychiatric Association

    Steve Wynn

    Jen Psaki (former White House Press Secretary and current MSNBC host)

    Jeffrey Goldberg (Atlantic columnist)

    Brad Raffensperger

    WIRED Magazine

    Any fashion or cosmetics brand

    Liz Cheney

    Greenland

    American sign language signers or interpreters

    BlueSky

    JD Vance

    The population of penguins and seabirds on the Heard and McDonald Islands

    Mike Pence

    The San Diego Zoo

    Barack Obama

    Russell Vought

    Pete Hegseth

    Democratic Republic of the Congo

    SSRIs

    Black Nationals

    Rosie O'Donnell

    Alec Baldwin

    Chappell Roan

    Bill Burr

    Not Elected

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    99

    94

    92

    90

    83

    81

    73

    70

    56

    55

    54

    49

    49

    48

    46

    45

    44

    44

    43

    43

    42

    42

    40

    39

    38

    36

    36

    34

    34

    33

    33

    28

    26

    26

    25

    25

    25

    23

    22

    21

    21

    21

    21

    20

    20

    20

    20

    19

    19

    18

    18

    17

    16

    16

    15

    15

    12

    12

    11

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    6

    4

    2

    1

    1

    0

    Who will the Trump administration go after?

    Nov 13, 7:18 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
    5322346

    OptionProbability

    Mainstream Media

    Letitia James

    LQBTQ / Trans People

    Migrants

    Dr. Fauci

    LGBTQ+ / Transgender service members

    January 6th Committee

    Jack Smith

    Blinken

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Alejandro Mayorkas

    The Bidens

    Miles Taylor

    Fluoride

    Zohran Mamdani

    Bruce Springsteen

    Jerome Powell

    Merrick Garland

    Elon Musk

    Michael Cohen

    Christopher Steele

    Texas Democrats (as a group)

    VAWA self-petitioners

    Liz Cheney

    Furries

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    Vindman

    FDIC

    Rev. Budde/ Episcopal Church

    Susie Wiles

    Beyonce

    Brad Raffensperger

    Mike Pence

    Rosie O'Donnell

    Black Nationals

    E. Jean Carroll

    Jeff Bezos

    Taylor Swift

    Alec Baldwin

    Kevin McCarthy

    Karoline Leavitt

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    97

    93

    90

    80

    80

    78

    78

    66

    58

    58

    56

    53

    50

    50

    50

    49

    49

    45

    43

    41

    41

    39

    35

    31

    31

    26

    25

    23

    8

    5

    3

    3

    1

    OptionProbability

    Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

    Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

    Evan permabanned from Manifold

    Any left-wing group is legally designated as a "terrorist organization"

    Jimmy Kimmel is reinstated.

    Jimmy Kimmel returns to air on Sinclair stations

    Charlie Kirk dies

    Charlie Kirk remains no longer alive

    government employee fired for personal statements on kirk is reinstated or wins employment/first amendment lawsuit about firing

    South Park does an episode that alludes to it

    Over 1 million combined lifetime student memberships and faith initiatives by Nov 2026

    Increased stigma towards sexual "deviants" in the US

    Federal investigation started into "funders" of "the left"

    Another left-wing group is legally declared a terrorist organization.

    At least 10 people deported because of anti-Charlie Kirk comments

    A member of a prominent left-leaning organization is arrested.

    Another political assassination (either side)

    event with left leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

    Search warrant/subpoena executed against an individual citing social media posts about the shooting

    Federal bill/EO to restrict/prevent transgender gun ownership

    At least once person is hospitalized or killed in a violent incident started by someone who thinks they are retaliating for Kirk's death

    The FCC revokes a station’s broadcast license over any misinformation about Kirk.

    Seth Meyers fired, or show cancelled.

    Any House Democrat is censured for comments on Kirk.

    Search warrant/subpoena executed against a journalist citing social media posts about the shooting

    Jimmy Fallon fired, or show cancelled.

    "Groyper War 3" declared by Nick Fuentes or one of his generals

    South Park episode canceled (not delayed)

    Jezebel writer Claire Guinan testifies that she doesn't believe in witchcraft.

    arson attack against gender clinic

    BBC does piece on furries that mentions Tyler Robinson

    80s-style moral panic over furries

    Trump invokes the Insurrection Act and/or declares martial law.

    Actblue specifically is labelled a terrorist organization or shut down

    A furry website is hacked and the users are doxxed

    event with right leaning speaker canceled on a different campus by that school's admin and cancellation explicitly references shooting

    A prominent anti-Trump journalist is arrested.

    Upcoming issues of Absolute Batman pulled

    Statue of Charlie Kirk erected in the capitol

    Information reward money paid

    high ranking fed (elected, political appointee, or LEO) acting in an official capacity names a suspect later exonerated

    At least one furry convention canceled

    Robinson's roommate charged with any crime related to the assassination

    TPUSA supports a gun control bill

    Any Democratic politician is arrested

    5+ reporters/columnists fired (across any outlets)

    Kirk or the assassination referenced explicitly in super bowl ad

    Any news organization is shut down

    Any left-wing NGO is shut down

    South Park canceled

    NYT reporter / opinion columnist fired

    "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" ends, or Jimmy Kimmel is fired/resigns

    Federal bill named in tribute to Charlie Kirk is signed into law

    Kash Patel fired

    At least 100 people are arrested on Antifa charges.

    National Guard deployed to anywhere in Utah (explicitly linked to Kirk)

    Charlie Kirk is the most viewed article on Wikipedia in 2025

    Trump initiates a large-scale crackdown on civil liberties in response.

    Discord or Bluesky removed from the App Store or Play Store

    America becomes a one-party GOP state.

    5 swatting attacks reported on (not before) 9/12

    Trump receives a “rally around the flag” bump in approval ratings (net approval increases by more than 3 points in the following two weeks according to silver bulletin)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    90

    75

    72

    70

    59

    53

    45

    44

    42

    37

    35

    34

    34

    32

    32

    28

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    23

    22

    22

    22

    21

    20

    18

    17

    16

    15

    15

    15

    15

    12

    11

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    5

    5

    4

    4

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Jimmy Kimmel Live! returns to the air on ABC

    Kimmel goes on the Howard Stern Show

    Kimmel begins a new show on nontraditional media (podcast or similar)

    Legal action is taken

    Kimmel gives money to the Kirk family

    Kimmel gives money to Turning Point USA

    Kimmel apologizes

    Kimmel returns to the air with a new show on another network

    First returning episode of Jimmy Kimmel Live! is aired by Nexstar stations

    First returning episode of Jimmy Kimmel Live! is aired by Sinclair stations

    100

    18

    9

    8

    8

    7

    3

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Andrew Cuomo

    Joi Ito

    Adam Perry Lang

    Harvey Weinstein

    Tom Pritzker

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Prince Harry

    Noam Chomsky

    Al Gore

    Reid Hoffman

    Bill Gates

    Les Wexner

    Barack Obama aka (Barry Soetoro)

    Bill Clinton

    Alan Dershowitz

    Hillary Clinton

    Tom Hanks

    Oprah Winfrey

    28

    28

    28

    27

    27

    25

    25

    25

    23

    23

    21

    20

    20

    19

    18

    17

    5

    4

    Jimmy Kimmel apologizes?

    Sep 18, 2:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    4.3%chance
    462728

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    472

    21

    Who is the next late night show host to leave?

    Oct 8, 7:22 PMNov 1, 2:59 AM
    81619

    OptionProbability

    Stephen Colbert

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Jimmy Fallon

    Seth Meyers

    Other

    91

    8

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    John Oliver

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Jimmy Fallon

    Seth Meyers

    Bill Maher

    Stephen Colbert

    93

    75

    64

    58

    52

    18

    will Jimmy Kimmel run for any public office before the end of 2028?

    Sep 22, 9:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    9.42%chance
    3300

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    310

    32

    Trump shakes hands with any late night host in 2025?

    Sep 19, 6:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    16.12%chance
    6187

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    228

    44

    OptionProbability

    Taylor Swift

    Robert De Niro

    Jimmy Kimmel

    Kanye West

    63

    50

    50

    15

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