Joaquín Niemann News
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Prediction markets for Joaquín Niemann
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before 2030?
Oct 5, 10:46 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
26.95%chance
6326009
OptionVotes
1353
823
Will Hans Niemann be a top 10 chess player before EOY 2026?
Mar 30, 10:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.87%chance
2913704
OptionVotes
5823
172
Which of these famous people will reach lifetime two or more offspring by mid 2035?
Jan 4, 7:18 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM
7513519
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
97
97
86
84
81
78
78
75
74
73
69
68
65
65
65
65
63
62
62
61
60
60
60
60
59
59
55
54
54
54
52
52
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
48
48
46
46
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44
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41
39
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39
39
36
36
35
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35
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
31
31
31
30
30
28
28
23
23
22
22
21
18
17
14
14
9
8
7
5
5
Who will be the next chess player to cross 2800 Elo points (FIDE classical, not live; to exceed 2800)
Dec 1, 1:49 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
3813287
OptionProbability
27
18
13
11
6
5
4
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
OptionProbability
96
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which chess players will qualify and participate in the 2028 FIDE Candidates tournament?
Apr 2, 4:00 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM
114761
OptionProbability
70
69
47
40
35
34
33
33
30
29
26
26
25
24
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
18
17
15
14
14
13
8
Who will win the Total Chess World Championship 2026 pilot event?
Sep 26, 10:34 PMNov 25, 11:59 PM
174744
OptionProbability
50
12
7
7
7
6
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
100
69
34
32
31
30
26
21
20
18
17
14
14
13
11
10
10
10
8
7
5
4
1
OptionProbability
15
15
14
12
8
6
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
Will Hans Niemann become World Chess Champion within the next 25 years?
Jan 31, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM
6.23%chance
272679
OptionVotes
1118
953
Which chess prodigy will have the highest Elo rating at the end of 2026?
Jan 15, 5:41 PMJan 1, 5:36 PM
111298
OptionProbability
41
17
10
9
5
5
5
2
2
2
OptionVotes
136
81
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