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Prediction markets for Jon Stewart
OptionProbability
16
16
12
11
11
6
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
OptionProbability
41
22
17
14
13
12
12
12
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
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5
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5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
98
96
96
95
94
93
92
91
91
91
90
89
88
87
87
85
84
82
81
78
77
76
75
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72
70
69
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65
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50
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45
45
45
43
43
43
40
40
39
37
37
36
36
35
35
34
34
34
32
32
29
25
22
21
20
18
17
16
16
9
8
6
6
6
2
OptionVotes
4314
232
🗳️Who will become president of the USA before the end of 2075? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
45
44
31
23
21
19
19
18
17
17
17
17
17
17
17
16
16
16
16
15
14
14
13
13
13
13
13
13
12
12
12
11
10
10
8
8
7
6
5
5
3
3
1
🕋Which of these celebrities will convert to Islam before the end of 2040? [ADD RESPONSES]
OptionProbability
100
40
40
40
39
28
28
20
19
19
19
16
15
15
14
13
12
12
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
10
10
9
7
6
6
6
6
5
5
3
3
2
0
0
Will Jon Stewart, Bill Maher, or John Oliver ever run for president?
OptionVotes
2891
631
Who will be the next Leftie president of the United States of America?
OptionProbability
87
4
2
2
2
1
1
1
OptionProbability
16
16
13
10
10
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Who will be the next permanent host of The Daily Show? [Add Answers]
OptionProbability
21
21
11
11
9
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Will Jon Stewart announce a campaign for any public federal office before the end of 2032?
OptionVotes
236
42
Will Jon Stewart or Stephen Colbert be on the Bridges podcast by the end of 2025?
OptionVotes
254
39