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Prediction markets for Jona
WIll Dr Jonathan Sackner Bernstein (Parkinson's researcher) win a major medicine/biology award by mid 2036
Jun 23, 5:05 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
35.27%chance
23550
OptionVotes
13548
7381
OptionProbability
56
26
7
4
3
2
1
1
Who will be appointed Prime Minister of Norway after the 2025 parliamentary election?
Aug 4, 8:38 AMDec 1, 10:59 PM
201653
OptionProbability
40
21
20
8
6
2
1
1
1
1
0
Which players will be part of Germany's squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Jul 6, 11:21 AMJun 11, 9:59 PM
121218
OptionProbability
94
92
80
75
69
63
61
61
61
52
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
What is the first year in which a rider other than Tadej Pogacar or Jonas Vingegaard wins the Tour de France?
Oct 31, 4:33 PMAug 1, 3:59 AM
11691
OptionProbability
31
27
18
13
9
1
Will the Jonas Gahr Støre government survive until the 2025 elections have been completed?
Mar 19, 7:59 AMSep 30, 9:59 PM
98.34%chance
4625
OptionVotes
605
15
OptionProbability
25
24
13
10
5
5
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
88
12
How many stages will Jonas Vingegaard win at the 2025 Vuelta a Espana?
Aug 1, 1:56 AMSep 14, 11:59 PM
2165
OptionProbability
26
25
24
9
6
5
4
OptionVotes
121
83
OptionProbability
47
28
25
OptionProbability
38
33
30
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