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Prediction markets for Julian
Who will be the President of the United States of America at some point in their life?
Mar 27, 1:20 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
369124749
OptionProbability
41
22
17
14
13
12
12
12
11
10
10
9
9
8
8
7
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
24
23
22
14
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Oct 11, 8:31 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
6914534
OptionProbability
29
19
15
5
5
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
97
96
96
96
96
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
94
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
93
92
92
92
92
92
91
91
91
91
91
91
91
91
91
90
90
90
90
89
89
89
89
88
86
86
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
85
84
84
84
84
84
84
84
84
84
84
83
83
83
83
83
83
83
82
82
82
82
82
81
81
81
81
81
81
81
81
80
80
80
79
77
74
73
72
66
66
66
66
66
66
63
59
57
57
53
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
36
34
20
Will Julian Assange be extradited to the USA before the end of 2025?
Feb 14, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
2.71%chance
358731
OptionVotes
4349
69
Will Joe Biden live to see Julian Assange extradited to the United States?
Apr 20, 4:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4.83%chance
196255
OptionVotes
4664
368
Who will be the next manager of Manchester United, after Ruben Amorim?
Nov 3, 2:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
61411
OptionProbability
60
6
6
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
1
Will Julian Assange receive a presidential pardon before the end of 2029?
Jul 22, 1:00 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM
16.61%chance
16625
OptionVotes
1344
902
Will Julian Assange still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
Jan 30, 9:48 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
68.47%chance
9274
OptionVotes
152
103
OptionVotes
247
40
Will Lex Friedman post an interview with Julian Assange by the end of 2025?
Nov 27, 4:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
16.61%chance
9134
OptionVotes
224
45
Will Julian Dunning (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 28, 2:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.52%chance
373
OptionVotes
163
60
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