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Prediction markets for Junior
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
82
73
69
60
57
29
22
22
22
22
20
19
18
18
18
18
15
14
13
13
13
12
11
10
9
9
8
7
7
6
5
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
62
37
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
62
37
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
41
23
13
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
59
21
12
4
3
2
1
Which players will win a Ballon d'Or before the end of their career?
Mar 10, 5:06 PMJan 18, 4:59 AM
241576
OptionProbability
100
65
62
38
38
36
Which players will win a Ballon d'Or before the end of their careers?
Apr 8, 8:47 AMApr 16, 6:59 AM
251438
OptionProbability
100
71
69
62
39
36
36
22
21
20
20
19
17
17
OptionProbability
17
16
15
12
6
5
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
Will an antibiotic peptide from Santos-Junior et al 2024 be used to cure a human of an infection before 2035?
Jun 7, 7:07 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
19.32%chance
41075
OptionVotes
2043
489
OptionProbability
66
50
50
41
39
38
37
34
34
34
34
34
34
33
33
33
30
27
26
25
24
24
24
24
24
23
23
23
22
20
20
18
18
17
16
9
Will there be a junior-level coding assistant that can do unguided meaningful code contributions by 2028?
Feb 14, 9:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
86.53%chance
16377
OptionVotes
1306
922
Will the number of Junior Developer (SWE) job openings substantially decrease (at least 33%) between now and 01/01/2030?
Feb 9, 3:56 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
73.98%chance
9163
OptionVotes
199
115
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