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Prediction markets for Justice
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.88%chance
27874619
OptionVotes
1890
1079
Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Jul 22, 12:56 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM
8.61%chance
9741510
OptionVotes
3135
225
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
80.58%chance
11730224
OptionVotes
10621
5761
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
Nov 7, 6:15 PMJan 20, 8:59 PM
33.8%chance
425003
OptionVotes
1399
715
OptionProbability
41
35
10
5
3
2
1
1
1
0
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Jul 31, 2:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
80.23%chance
201955
OptionVotes
2015
496
Will the Justice Department win its antitrust suit against Google?
Jan 24, 6:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.92%chance
221358
OptionVotes
1136
916
Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.13%chance
181101
OptionVotes
1191
714
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM
29.24%chance
151074
OptionVotes
1556
643
Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM
50.96%chance
81041
OptionVotes
1019
981
Will the next Chief Justice of the United States be a woman?
Mar 21, 1:27 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
40.3%chance
17550
OptionVotes
1109
913
Will the next Supreme Court justice have a Catholic background?
Jul 2, 2:14 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
39.07%chance
5265
OptionVotes
1249
801
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