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Prediction markets for Justice
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
16%chance
364112279
OptionVotes
2272
996
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.25%chance
16159047
OptionVotes
11888
2079
Will the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Jul 22, 12:56 PMDec 2, 5:59 AM
28.24%chance
10042256
OptionVotes
1690
507
Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Nov 9, 3:25 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM
83.28%chance
6125543
OptionVotes
2238
449
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
Nov 7, 6:15 PMJan 20, 8:59 PM
23.51%chance
456153
OptionVotes
1804
554
Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Jul 31, 2:04 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
74.53%chance
322998
OptionVotes
1711
585
Will Clarence Thomas break the record for longest tenured US Supreme Court Justice?
Nov 12, 2:58 AMMay 20, 4:00 PM
75.43%chance
111774
OptionVotes
1752
571
Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM
23.47%chance
151324
OptionVotes
1806
554
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Oct 7, 2:54 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM
76.13%chance
131240
OptionVotes
1786
560
Will the first openly LGBTQIA+ SCOTUS Justice be appointed before 2040?
Jul 3, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
49.13%chance
181101
OptionVotes
1191
714
Will the next Chief Justice of the United States be a woman?
Mar 21, 1:27 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
40.3%chance
18650
OptionVotes
1109
913
Will the next Supreme Court justice have a Catholic background?
Jul 2, 2:14 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
39.07%chance
5265
OptionVotes
1249
801
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