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Katie Porter News

    Prediction markets for Katie Porter

    Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

    Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM
    17631926798

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Pete Buttigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Kamala Harris

    Mark Kelly

    J.B. Pritzker

    Jon Ossoff

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Raphael Warnock

    Andy Beshear

    Wes Moore

    Ro Khanna

    Ruben Gallego

    Michelle Obama

    Amy Klobuchar

    Cory Booker

    Kathy Hochul

    Mark Cuban

    Jamie Raskin

    Jon Stewart

    None

    John Fetterman

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Biden

    Jeff Jackson

    Jared Polis

    Mitch Landrieu

    Roy Cooper

    Dianne Feinstein

    Jimmy Carter

    Tim Walz

    Chuck Schumer

    Tim Kaine

    Bernie Sanders

    Tammy Duckworth

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Elizabeth Warren

    Michael Bloomberg

    Dwayne Johnson

    [Duplicate - Invalid]

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Andrew Yang

    Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

    Dean Phillips

    Bob Ferguson

    Jay Inslee

    Anthony Blinken

    Susan Rice

    Scott Wiener

    Donald Trump

    Sam Altman

    Jeff Merkley

    Merrick Garland

    Taylor Swift

    Tammy Baldwin

    Katie Porter

    Phil Murphy

    Cenk Uygur

    Joe Manchin

    Sherrod Brown

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    John Bel Edwards

    Clark Duke

    Stacey Abrams

    Nina Turner

    john smith

    Duplicate ignore

    Gina Raimondo

    Ron Desantis

    Beto O'Rourke

    Vermin Supreme

    Hunter Biden

    Invalid answer

    John Jacob

    Alex Jones

    Bob Roberston the IV

    Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

    Stephen A Smith

    27

    17

    9

    6

    6

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be elected president in 2028?

    Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
    18091448358

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Marco Rubio

    Pete Buttigieg

    Kamala Harris

    No 2028 Election

    Josh Shapiro

    Jon Ossoff

    Andy Beshear

    JB Pritzker

    Ro Khanna

    Ron DeSantis

    Donald Trump

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Mark Kelly

    Ruben Gallego

    Tim Walz

    Donald Trump Jr

    Chris Murphy

    Barron Trump

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Rahm Emmanuel

    Brian Kemp

    Joe Rogan

    Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

    Ted Cruz

    Amy Klobuchar

    Kanye West

    Hunter Biden

    Mike Pence

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Bernie Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elizabeth Warren

    Cory Booker

    Roy Cooper

    Tim Scott

    Mitch Landrieu

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Katie Porter

    Joe Biden

    Tucker Carlson

    Ration L. Ussy

    Wes Moore

    Mark Cuban

    RFK Jr.

    Tetraspace

    Lina Khan

    Shawn Fain

    Elon Musk

    Ritchie Torres

    Taylor Swift

    Barack Obama

    Stephen A. Smith

    Mickey Mouse

    Ivanka Trump

    Laura Loomer

    Abigail Spanberger

    Sam Altman

    John Fetterman

    Al Gore

    Kathy Hochul

    [deleted]

    Josh Hawley

    Ezra Klein

    Tim Kaine

    invalid

    David McCormick

    Andrew Yang

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Amaryllis Fox

    AI Overlord

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Mike Johnson

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Jamie Dimon

    Abrego Garcia

    Andrew Cuomo

    Chris Van Hollen

    Invalid

    invalid

    Deval Patrick

    Jasmine Crockett

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Obama

    Sheldon Whitehouse

    Robert Prevost

    Harambe

    Josh Stein

    Jeff Jackson

    Rand Paul

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elissa Slotkin

    23

    19

    12

    7

    5

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

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    0

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    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will become the next governor of California after Gavin Newsom?

    Jul 4, 12:46 AMJul 11, 8:59 PM
    8459042

    OptionProbability

    Eric Swalwell

    Matt Mahan

    Tom Steyer

    Katie Porter

    Other

    Antonio Villaraigosa

    Steve Hilton

    Xavier Becerra

    Eleni Kounalakis

    Toni Atkins

    Tony Thurmond

    Betty Yee

    Rob Bonta

    Rick Caruso

    Kamala Harris

    Ethan Agarwal

    Alex Padilla

    Jon Slavet

    Jesse Perez

    Michael L. Younger

    Ian Calderon

    36

    25

    10

    7

    4

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

    Oct 10, 3:00 PMJun 17, 6:59 AM
    13430574

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Josh Shapiro

    JB Pritzker

    Andy Beshear

    Pete Buttigieg

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Mark Kelly

    Kamala Harris

    Chris Murphy

    Chris Van Hollen

    Rahm Emanuel

    Ro Khanna

    Cory Booker

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Amy Klobuchar

    Jamie Raskin

    Raphael Warnock

    Ruben Gallego

    Jared Polis

    Wes Moore

    Josh Stein

    Dean Phillips

    Stephen A. Smith

    Jon Ossof

    George Clooney

    Stacey Abrams

    Gina Raimondo

    Tammy Duckworth

    Elizabeth Warren

    Roy Cooper

    John Fetterman

    Katie Porter

    Jay Inslee

    Tim Walz

    Angus King Jr.

    Andrew Cuomo

    Bernie Sanders

    Hillary Clinton

    Tim Kaine

    Joe Biden

    Michelle Obama

    Chuck Norris

    Zohran Mamdani

    Kat Abughazaleh

    95

    90

    71

    70

    68

    60

    60

    53

    46

    43

    43

    40

    33

    31

    31

    31

    29

    27

    26

    24

    24

    23

    23

    22

    20

    19

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    16

    14

    14

    12

    11

    10

    9

    5

    4

    3

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden/Kamala in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Apr 13, 5:48 PMAug 6, 3:59 AM
    11519238

    OptionProbability

    Julia Galef

    Scott Alexander

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Paul Christiano

    Peter Singer

    Randall Munroe

    Josh Shapiro

    Dwarkesh Patel

    Jon Stewart

    @SemioticRivalry

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Michelle Obama

    Sam Wendover

    Spencer Greenberg

    Tammy Duckworth

    Emmanuel Macron

    Andrew Yang

    Andy Beshear

    Jared Polis

    Manifold Joshua

    J. B. Pritzker

    Satya Nadella

    Aella

    Katie Porter

    Andrew Wiles

    Gavin Newsom

    @Mira

    Garry Kasparov

    MrBeast

    William Mc Askill

    Vermin Supreme

    Eric Schmidt

    Magnus Carlsen

    Bill Gates

    Raphael Warnock

    Mark Cuban

    Justin Trudeau

    Bernie Sanders

    Gordon Ramsay

    @strutheo

    Bryan Caplan

    Ursula von der Leyen

    Bill Maher

    Linus Torvalds

    Manifold James

    Sam Altman

    Michael Bloomberg

    Al Gore

    Bryan Cranston

    Kathy Hochul

    Cory Booker

    Blake Huber

    Taylor Swift

    Mitt Romney

    A randomly selected active Manifold user

    Manifold Austin

    Jose Luis Ricon

    Warren Buffett

    Keanu Reeves

    Ray William Johnson

    Cory Doctorow

    Volodymyr Zelenskyy

    LeBron James

    Kamala Harris

    Zach Robinson

    Nikil Saval

    Ding Liren

    @ZacParker

    SCP-999

    Stannis Baratheon

    Alexandr Wang

    Cao Cao

    Liu Bei

    Tim Cook

    Jeff Bezos

    Hillary Clinton

    Chuck Norris

    Destiny

    Guillaume Verdon

    Emma Watson

    Oprah

    Rick Astley

    Peter Thiel

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jimmy Carter

    Anatoly Karpov

    Rishi Sunak

    Anthony Fantano

    Javier Milei

    Nikki Haley

    Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

    Sundar Pichai

    Brian Tomasik

    Lionel Messi

    Cristiano Ronaldo

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Prince Harry

    Jeb "Please Clap" Bush

    Hunter Biden

    Liz Cheney

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elon Musk

    Yann Lecun

    A randomly selected banned Manifold user

    Joe Rogan

    Tucker Carlson

    Ivanka Trump

    Jordan Peterson

    Ben Shapiro

    Sam Bankman-Fried

    Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

    98

    96

    96

    95

    94

    94

    93

    93

    92

    91

    90

    89

    87

    87

    87

    85

    82

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    82

    78

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    75

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    70

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    65

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    40

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    34

    32

    32

    29

    28

    25

    24

    22

    21

    20

    17

    16

    9

    8

    6

    6

    6

    Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?

    Aug 1, 2:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
    10412020

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Kamala Harris

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Nikki Haley

    No one: The office of the U.S. presidency ceases to exist before any woman holds it. (Only resolves to this if it appears that the office is permanently gone.)

    Elise Stefanik

    Hillary Clinton

    Kristi Noem

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Michelle Obama

    Stacey Abrams

    Katie Porter

    Tammy Duckworth

    Rama Duwaji

    73

    7

    5

    4

    4

    4

    2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    🗳️Who will become president of the USA before the end of 2075? [ADD RESPONSES]

    Feb 20, 4:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    409479

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Pete Buttigieg

    Marco Rubio

    Greg Abbott

    Ron DeSantis

    Kari Lake

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Roy Cooper

    Josh Hawley

    Ilhan Omar

    Ben Carson

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    J.B. Pritzker

    Elise Stefanik

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Wes Moore

    Andy Beshear

    Byron Donalds

    Nikki Haley

    Mark Cuban

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Raphael Warnock

    Kristi Noem

    Tammy Duckworth

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Brian Kemp

    Katie Porter

    Beto O'Rourke

    Katie Britt

    Tim Scott

    Kamala Harris

    Andrew Yang

    John Fetterman

    Tucker Carlson

    Michelle Obama

    Stephen Colbert

    Matt Gaetz

    Jon Stewart

    Hillary Clinton

    Chuck Norris

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    37

    21

    20

    19

    18

    17

    17

    15

    15

    13

    13

    11

    11

    11

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    9

    8

    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will be the first female president of the U.S.?

    Apr 9, 4:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    432799

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Kamala Harris

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Ivanka Trump

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Kristi Noem

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Deb Haaland

    Krystal Ball

    Carly Fiorina

    Michelle Obama

    Katie Porter

    Elizabeth Warren

    Tammy Baldwin

    Tammy Duckworth

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Sarah Huckabee Sanders

    Ayanna Pressley

    Joni Ernst

    Tina Kotek

    Katie Hobbs

    Barbara Lee

    Young Kim

    Lucy McBath

    Cori Bush

    Hillary Clinton

    Meghan Markle, Duchess of Sussex

    69

    7

    6

    6

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election?

    Sep 29, 5:26 PMNov 9, 7:59 AM
    232710

    OptionProbability

    Eric Swalwell

    Matt Mahan

    Other

    Tom Steyer

    Katie Porter

    Xavier Becerra

    Rob Bonta

    Rick Caruso

    Chad Bianco

    Eleni Kounalakis

    Betty Yee

    Antonio Villaraigosa

    Alex Padilla

    Steve Hilton

    39

    23

    12

    8

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Which CA governors will build more housing in 2027?

    Oct 23, 10:15 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
    3830

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Katie Porter, more housing

    Katie Porter, less housing

    Alex Padilla, more housing

    Alex Padilla, less housing

    Rick Caruso, more housing

    Rick Caruso, less housing

    82

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    What office will Katie Porter run for in 2026?

    Mar 10, 2:36 PMNov 3, 4:59 PM
    4796

    OptionProbability

    Governor of California

    None

    Lieutenant Governor of California

    Attorney General of California

    U.S. Representative (California’s 45th Congressional District)

    U.S. Representative (Any District other than CA-45)

    96

    4

    4

    3

    2

    2

    Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

    Dec 6, 7:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    4751

    OptionProbability

    Eric Swalwell(D)

    Matt Mahan

    Tom Steyer(D)

    Steve Hilton(R)

    Chad Bianco(R)

    Rick Caruso(D)

    Katie Porter(D)

    Xavier Becerra(D)

    Butch Ware(G)

    44

    38

    27

    26

    21

    17

    15

    9

    3

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