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Top stories

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

Authors

6

3 months ago

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

US Foreign Policy

Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest

Authors

5

3 months ago

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive

Authors

20

3 months ago

Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates

Authors

13

3 months ago

Starmer Removes Top Aide Nin Pandit as No. 10 Shake-Up Widens

Authors

5

3 months ago

St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England

Authors

18

3 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Nigel Farage and Keir Starmer Back Detention, Deportation as UK Faces Rising Illegal Boat Arrivals; US Advances Expedited Removal Act

Authors

9

3 months ago

France Summons Italian Ambassador After Salvini Taunts Macron on Ukraine Troops

Authors

11

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Keir Starmer

If Labour wins a majority government at the 2024 election, will Keir Starmer be prime minister on 1st January 2028?

Jun 4, 4:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40.36%chance

3637759

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1216

823

On what dates will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?

Sep 23, 8:43 AMDec 31, 9:30 AM

2531251

OptionProbability

2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025

2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026

2027-12-31 / 31st December 2027

2028-12-31 / 31st December 2028

2029-12-31 / 31st December 2029

2030-12-31 / 31st December 2030

98

53

39

26

14

12

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

5418441

OptionProbability

2026

2029

2027

2028

Other

2025

2030

2024

42

15

13

12

10

6

2

0

Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

40%chance

5514278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1225

816

Keir Starmer resigns in 2025?

Jun 10, 9:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.74%chance

377443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

596

17

Will Keir Starmer's net favourability rating be higher at the end of 2025 than it was at the end of 2024?

Jan 29, 11:09 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

9.71%chance

176105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3050

328

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2029?

Jun 4, 2:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.94%chance

244444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1943

515

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2030?

Jun 13, 7:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.02%chance

343916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2379

420

Keir Starmer out as UK Prime Minister by December 31, 2025

Nov 24, 12:47 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

1%chance

211732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Keir Starmer still UK prime minister by year end?

Nov 13, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

98%chance

201729

OptionVotes

NO

YES

700

14

Will Keir Starmer be UK Prime Minister at the end of 2031?

Jun 13, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12%chance

19917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Will Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?

Nov 8, 3:36 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

34.5%chance

11283

OptionVotes

YES

NO

253

163

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel
Authors
6
3 months ago
Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Britain
Israel
War
UK Bars Israeli Officials From London Defence Expo Over Gaza Offensive
Authors
20
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
War
US Foreign Policy
Lib Dem Leader Davey Boycotts Trump Banquet in Gaza Protest
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Labour Grandees Clash Over ECHR Exit as Asylum Hotel Battle Escalates
Authors
13
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Politics
Culture
St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England
Authors
18
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Starmer Removes Top Aide Nin Pandit as No. 10 Shake-Up Widens
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Britain
US Legislation
US Domestic Policy
Nigel Farage and Keir Starmer Back Detention, Deportation as UK Faces Rising Illegal Boat Arrivals; US Advances Expedited Removal Act
Authors
9
3 months ago
Aug 23, 2025
Aug 23, 2025
France
Italy
War
France Summons Italian Ambassador After Salvini Taunts Macron on Ukraine Troops
Authors
11
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Britain
Politics
Culture
Lucy Connolly Released After Nine Months of 31-Month Sentence, Claims Political Prisoner Under Keir Starmer Over Racist Tweet
Authors
18
4 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Jeremy Balfour Quits Tory as Reform Support Hits 31%, Corbyn’s Party Gains 28% Labour Members and Plans Scottish Branch
Authors
7
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
UK Asylum Claims Reach Record 111,000 in Year to June
Authors
8
4 months ago
Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Germany
Ukraine
War
Merz Ties Ukraine Summit to Ceasefire as German Troop Plan Faces Backlash
Authors
11
4 months ago
Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Britain
Space
Science
UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs
Authors
5
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
US Foreign Policy
Politics
World
Trump Holds Successful Meeting With Zelenskyy, Macron, Stubb, Meloni, Starmer; Zelenskyy Calls It Best, Also Meets Putin
Authors
12
4 months ago
Aug 18, 2025
Aug 18, 2025
Britain
Ukraine
War
Starmer Backs Ukraine’s ‘Irreversible’ NATO Path, Rejects Trump Stance
Authors
8
4 months ago
Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
Britain
Culture
World
King Charles Warns of War’s Cost at VJ Day 80th Anniversary
Authors
30
4 months ago

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