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Prediction markets for Kern
Which release of Linux kernel will have the first Rust-only driver for consumer-grade hardware ?
Mar 1, 5:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
106615
OptionProbability
81
6
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Will one person be able to rewrite the Linux Kernel from scratch in Rust, with the help of AI, by EOY 2030?
Jan 2, 2:49 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
30.07%chance
383426
OptionVotes
1525
656
Will I gain kernel-level privileges on my Switch 2, in 2025?
May 7, 3:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.16%chance
182562
OptionVotes
1725
580
OptionVotes
1771
948
Will one of the teams that left the race in 2025 start at Etoile de Besseges in 2026?
Feb 10, 5:12 PMFeb 18, 5:59 AM
66.59%chance
5412
OptionVotes
1412
708
Will the Linux kernel still be an actively maintained project in 2050?
Mar 29, 12:48 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
80.43%chance
13314
OptionVotes
444
151
OptionVotes
143
70
Who will win the 2026 election for California's 16th State Senate district
Jul 2, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
285
OptionProbability
79
10
10
Will Kernel expand into at least two other cities by end of 2025?
Dec 11, 11:52 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.23%chance
245
OptionVotes
145
69
Will NeuroField Neurotherapy use a kernel flow helmet by EOY2028?
Sep 27, 3:55 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100